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US Federal Reserve (Fed)

US Federal Reserve (Fed) News

The world's most influential central bank, setting US monetary policy and the global cost of capital.

What is US Federal Reserve (Fed)?

The Federal Reserve is the central bank of the United States. Its 12 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members set the federal funds rate target โ€” the overnight rate that anchors most other interest rates globally. The Fed has a dual mandate: maximum employment and stable prices (interpreted as 2% inflation). Decisions are announced at 8 FOMC meetings per year, accompanied by economic projections (the "dot plot") quarterly.

Why it matters for investors

Because the US dollar is the world's reserve currency and US Treasury yields anchor global pricing of risk, Fed decisions ripple through every market. A Fed rate cut typically boosts equities, weakens the dollar, supports gold and crypto. A rate hike does the opposite. Forward guidance ("we expect rates to remain elevated through year-end") often moves markets more than the actual decision.

Frequently asked questions

What is the federal funds rate?

The interest rate at which US banks lend reserves to each other overnight. The Fed sets a target range; this anchors all other US interest rates from mortgages to credit cards to Treasury yields.

What is QE / QT?

Quantitative Easing (QE) is when the Fed buys bonds to inject liquidity and lower long-term rates. Quantitative Tightening (QT) is the reverse โ€” letting bonds mature without reinvesting, shrinking the Fed's balance sheet.

Who is the Fed Chair?

Jerome Powell has chaired the Fed since 2018, with terms running through 2026. The Chair leads FOMC meetings, testifies to Congress twice a year, and is the most-watched economic figure in markets.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

Gold and Silver Face High Volatility as Fed Decision and West Asia Tensions Create Conflicting Pressures

Analysts forecast continued gold and silver price volatility through this week driven by the upcoming Fed decision and West Asia conflict.

Sep 13, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Emerging Markets Shrug Off War and $100 Oil as Investors Back Rally Despite Fed Risk

Emerging markets delivered strong 2026 returns despite war, $100 oil, and rising US Treasury yields.

Sep 13, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Goldman Capitulates: All Major Banks Now Forecast Fed Rate Hike as Economist Warns It's Wall Street, Not Inflation

Goldman Sachs reversed its rate hike forecast, becoming the last major bank to project a Fed increase next week.

Sep 13, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

India Markets Face Fed Decision, Inflation, and Oil Shock After Five-Week Nifty Slide

Sensex fell 1,733 points (-2.26%) and Nifty dropped 500 points (-2%) last week, extending a five-week losing streak

Sep 13, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

Wall Street Week Ahead: Fed Meeting Uncertainty Tests Equity Rally as Rate Hike Risk Looms

Wall Street investors are bracing for a potentially market-disrupting Fed rate decision at the upcoming FOMC meeting

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

US August CPI Beats Estimates, Bringing Fed Rate Hike Closer as Indian Markets Watch Closely

US consumer prices accelerated in August with core inflation posting its largest monthly rise in four months

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

August CPI Surge Pushes Fed Rate Hike Bets to 87% as US Markets Rebound

August CPI accelerated beyond forecasts, driving Fed rate hike probability to 87% in overnight futures

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

Record Mobile Service Price Surge Fuels Inflation, Complicates Fed Rate Decision

Mobile service prices posted a record monthly rise in 2026, adding measurable pressure to the services CPI component watched by the Federal Reserve

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

Fed's Forced Credibility Hike Could Prove Bullish for Stocks and Long-Duration Bonds

The Federal Reserve is being forced into a rate hike to preserve its policy credibility after months of data-dependent hesitation

Sep 12, 2026

Citi

Citi Forecasts September Fed Rate Hike With Rate Cuts Not Expected Until Mid-2027

Citigroup has adjusted its Federal Reserve outlook to forecast a rate hike at the September FOMC meeting, with the bank not expecting the Fed to begin cutting rates until mid-2027 โ€” a hawkish timeline that extends equity and bond market headwinds significantly.

Sep 12, 2026

JPMorgan

JPMorgan Adds to Wall Street Chorus Forecasting Fed Rate Hikes on Persistent Inflation Concerns

JPMorgan analysts have predicted continued Federal Reserve rate hikes driven by persistent inflation concerns, adding the largest US bank's voice to a growing consensus among major Wall Street institutions forecasting sustained monetary tightening.

Sep 12, 2026

UBS

UBS Forecasts Fed Rate Hikes, Flagging Near-Term Headwinds for Bond ETF Holders in BND

UBS analysts have forecast continued Federal Reserve rate hikes, creating near-term valuation headwinds for holders of the Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) while simultaneously setting up improved long-term income yields for patient investors.

Sep 12, 2026

Inflation

August Inflation Stays Stubbornly High, Lifting Odds of a Federal Reserve Rate Hike Next Week

US inflation remained stubbornly elevated in August, with data signaling to markets that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates at next week's September 19-20 FOMC meeting despite earlier hopes for a policy pause.

Sep 12, 2026

Canada

Canadian Stocks Stage Partial Recovery as Oil Prices Ease, Though Fed Rate Hike Concerns Cap Gains

Canadian equities partially reversed four consecutive sessions of losses on Friday as easing oil prices provided relief, but rising Federal Reserve rate hike concerns following the August CPI data limited the extent of the recovery.

Sep 12, 2026

Dow-Jones

Dow Jones Futures Signal Caution as $100 Oil and Surging Treasury Yields Pressure Stocks After Tough Week

Dow Jones futures suggest continued market pressure as $100 Brent crude oil and surging US Treasury yields create a dual headwind for equities, with the Federal Reserve expected to hike rates at September's FOMC meeting despite Friday's partial recovery.

Sep 12, 2026

USD

Dollar Strengthens as Hawkish CPI Report Lifts Fed Rate Hike Probability Ahead of September FOMC

The dollar index (DXY) rose as a hotter-than-expected US CPI report increased market pricing for a Federal Reserve rate hike, with the hawkish inflation reading strengthening the case for continued policy tightening.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

Gold Rises as Oil Eases and Fed Rate Hike Bets Firm โ€” Inflation Hedge Demand Drives Cross-Asset Divergence

Gold ticked higher Friday even as oil eased and Fed rate hike probability rose, with investors treating the precious metal as an inflation hedge rather than a rate-sensitive asset โ€” a divergence from typical market correlations.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

August Inflation Ran Hot at 0.3% Monthly Core โ€” But a Silver Lining Is Driving Stocks Higher

August core CPI rose 0.3% monthly, pushing Fed hike odds to 85%, yet US equities gained as a 'silver lining' in economic resilience and soft-landing signals offset the hawkish inflation data.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

Fed Hike Probability Hits 86.7% and the Dow Rose 500 Points Anyway โ€” Here's Why

Motley Fool documents the counterintuitive market reaction: August CPI pushed Fed hike odds to 86.7% while the Dow gained 500 points, reflecting terminal-rate positioning and a 'buy the confirmed event' pattern.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

SPY Overvalued 11-12% on GF Model as August CPI Holds at 3.4% and Fed Hike Looms

GuruFocus dual analysis shows SPY 11.2-12.4% above GF Value fair estimate as August CPI held at 3.4%, with Fed rate hikes creating multiple-compression risk that compounds the overvaluation concern.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

Fed Rate Hike All But Certain: Week Ahead Preview Flags Clarity Act Vote and Salesforce Dreamforce

IBD's week-ahead preview identifies the Fed rate hike as 'close to a lock,' with the Clarity Act Senate vote facing long odds and Salesforce's Dreamforce conference providing a parallel enterprise software catalyst.

Sep 12, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Fed Rate Hike All But Assured: How Crypto Markets May React to the September FOMC

CoinDesk analysis suggests crypto traders may look past the near-certain September Fed hike, interpreting it as a potential cycle-end signal while the Clarity Act vote provides a compound catalyst.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท South Korea

Korean Analysts: US August CPI 'Insufficient to Justify Fed Rate Pause' as Monthly Inflation Accelerates

Korean financial media consensus is that the 0.3% core CPI monthly beat makes a September Fed rate pause unjustifiable, with Bank of Korea policy implications debated across major outlets.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท South Korea

US August CPI Holds at 3.4% Annual; Core Monthly Beats Forecasts, BOK Policy Implications Grow

US August CPI held at 3.4% YoY with core rising 0.3% monthly above forecasts, increasing Fed hike certainty and tightening Bank of Korea's policy room.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Singapore

US August CPI Rises 0.4% Monthly to 3.4% Annual Rate, Lifting Singapore Rate-Hike Watch

US CPI rose 0.4% in August after a 0.1% July gain, holding annual inflation at 3.4% and reinforcing September Fed rate hike expectations with Singapore market implications.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

US Stocks Rally as 85% Rate-Hike Odds Signal Economic Resilience Over Tightening Fear

US equities advanced Friday as markets reinterpreted high Fed rate-hike probability as evidence of economic strength rather than a pure tightening risk.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

Fed Rate Hike 90% Certain, $100 Oil Deepens India's Inflation Dilemma

Fed rate hike probability reached 90% after August CPI, with $100 oil creating a dual inflation shock that particularly pressures India's current account and rupee.

Sep 12, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

US Core CPI Beats Forecasts in August, Cementing Fed Rate Hike at September FOMC

US core CPI rose more than expected in August, reinforcing near-certain Fed rate hike expectations for the September 19-20 FOMC meeting.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

Gold Rises 1.77% to $4,393 Despite Rate-Hike Odds as Inflation Safe-Haven Demand Holds

Spot gold rose 1.77% to $4,393 and silver gained 2.41% to $65.12 despite strong US CPI data reinforcing Fed rate hike expectations.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

US 10-Year Treasury Yield Seen Testing 5.1% as Fed Rate Hike Hesitation Persists

US 10-year Treasury yield could reach 5.1% as Fed hesitates despite persistent inflationary pressures

Sep 12, 2026