Economy & Fed Watch
Federal Reserve policy, interest rates, inflation, GDP and macro trends — live data from Federal Reserve (FRED)
Economy News
US Builder Confidence Plunges to 14-Year Low as Rate Shock and Cost Squeeze Hit Housing Sector
The NAHB's October Housing Market Index dropped three points to 29 — its lowest level since June 2012 — as elevated mortgage rates and persistent cost pressures erode builder confidence and new home construction activity.
Oct 20, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesUBS Sees Encouraging Economic Signs But Warns Fed Rate Path Creates Portfolio Strategy Challenge
UBS analysts have identified positive economic data points in the current environment but caution that the trajectory of Federal Reserve interest rate policy creates meaningful portfolio strategy complexity for investors.
Oct 20, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesUSDA to Distribute $8 Billion in Emergency Diesel Relief to US Farmers During 2026 Harvest
The US Department of Agriculture will provide $8 billion in one-time diesel fuel subsidy payments to eligible American farmers for the 2026 harvest season, announced by Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins.
Oct 20, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesThree Steps Social Security Beneficiaries Should Take Now That the 2027 COLA Is Confirmed
With Social Security's 2027 COLA confirmed at 3.2%, financial advisors outline three concrete steps beneficiaries should take now to optimize their benefits and manage tax exposure on the increase.
Oct 18, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesSocial Security's 2027 COLA Set at 3.2%: What It Means for 70 Million Beneficiaries
Social Security's 2027 cost-of-living adjustment has been confirmed at 3.2%, providing modest inflation protection for 70 million Americans while stoking debate about the adequacy of the CPI measure used.
Oct 18, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesAnthropic's Jack Clark Forecasts $44 Trillion AI Economic Impact as Revolution Accelerates
Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark has predicted artificial intelligence will generate up to $44 trillion in economic value by the end of the decade, positioning AI as the most transformative force in the modern global economy.
Oct 18, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesNew York Restaurant Industry Hits 36-Year Low as 2,000 Venues Close in Q1 2026
New York's restaurant count fell to a 36-year low in Q1 2026 after 2,000 closures, as soaring fixed costs overwhelm independent operators with limited financial reserves.
Oct 18, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesUS Tech Stocks Tumble as September CPI Hits 3.7%, Reviving Federal Reserve Rate Hike Fears
US September CPI rose to 3.7%, exceeding forecasts and marking the sharpest inflation acceleration in months
Oct 15, 2026
Key Economic Indicators
FREDFed Funds Rate
3.88%
Oct 2026
CPI Inflation
Year-over-year
3.72%
Sep 2026
10-Year Treasury
Yield
5.13%
Oct 2026
Unemployment Rate
4.20%
Sep 2026
Real GDP Growth
Quarter-over-quarter
3.40%
Jul 2026
M2 Money Supply
Year-over-year growth
5.71%
Sep 2026
Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) · Updated monthly
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Fidelity's FCPI ETF Offers 28% Cheaper Forward P/E Than Russell 1000 With Inflation-Ready Sector Tilts
Fidelity's FCPI ETF offers a 28% forward P/E discount to Russell 1000 with inflation-ready sector tilts and lower beta protection, making it a quality equity alternative for investors concerned about growth stock valuations at current market levels.
Oct 12, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesFed's Jefferson and Williams Signal Patience on Rates as Markets Cut October Hike Odds
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson and New York Fed President John Williams both emphasized data dependence and patience, providing implicit validation for markets' reduced October rate hike expectations.
Oct 3, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesFederal Reserve Approves Peoples Bancorp Merger with Citizens National Corporation
The Federal Reserve Board formally approved Peoples Bancorp (PEBO) to merge with Citizens National Corporation, clearing the final regulatory hurdle for the Ohio community banking combination.
Sep 26, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesDow Hits Record 51,797 as PCE Inflation Data Revives Rate-Cut Expectations
The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 447 points (+0.87%) to reach 51,797, hitting record highs as cooling PCE inflation data revived rate-cut expectations.
Sep 26, 2026