Economy & Fed Watch
Federal Reserve policy, interest rates, inflation, GDP and macro trends — live data from Federal Reserve (FRED)
Economy News
Fed's Jefferson and Williams Signal Patience on Rates as Markets Cut October Hike Odds
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson and New York Fed President John Williams both emphasized data dependence and patience, providing implicit validation for markets' reduced October rate hike expectations.
Oct 3, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesFederal Reserve Approves Peoples Bancorp Merger with Citizens National Corporation
The Federal Reserve Board formally approved Peoples Bancorp (PEBO) to merge with Citizens National Corporation, clearing the final regulatory hurdle for the Ohio community banking combination.
Sep 26, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesDow Hits Record 51,797 as PCE Inflation Data Revives Rate-Cut Expectations
The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 447 points (+0.87%) to reach 51,797, hitting record highs as cooling PCE inflation data revived rate-cut expectations.
Sep 26, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesZillow Looks 62% Undervalued on GF Value as Real Estate Stocks Buckle Under Fed Rate Hike
Zillow Group (Z) stock appears 62.3% undervalued on the GF Value metric as the Fed’s first rate hike in three years pressured real estate shares.
Sep 20, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesJapanese Stocks Rose Despite BoJ Rate Hike: The Paradox Explained
Japanese stocks rose after the BoJ rate hike because yen weakness boosted exporter earnings expectations
Sep 19, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesSPY Overvalued 11-12% on GF Model as August CPI Holds at 3.4% and Fed Hike Looms
GuruFocus dual analysis shows SPY 11.2-12.4% above GF Value fair estimate as August CPI held at 3.4%, with Fed rate hikes creating multiple-compression risk that compounds the overvaluation concern.
Sep 12, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesUS CPI Report Set to Shape Fed Rate Decision as Inflation Trajectory Remains Uncertain
Federal Reserve officials have signaled readiness to raise rates further if inflation doesn't improve, even as questions persist about how effective monetary policy can be against some structural inflation drivers.
Sep 10, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesU.S. Equities Stall as Investors Hold Breath Before Key Inflation Print
Major U.S. indexes traded in a narrow band as participants awaited the next Consumer Price Index release.
Sep 10, 2026
Key Economic Indicators
FREDFed Funds Rate
3.75%
Sep 2026
CPI Inflation
Year-over-year
3.35%
Aug 2026
10-Year Treasury
Yield
4.99%
Sep 2026
Unemployment Rate
4.20%
Sep 2026
Real GDP Growth
Quarter-over-quarter
2.20%
Apr 2026
M2 Money Supply
Year-over-year growth
5.66%
Aug 2026
Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) · Updated monthly
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Trump Escalates Fed Pressure as September Rate Hike Looms — Warsh in Political Crossfire
Trump administration mounts full-court press to block Fed rate hike 10 days before September FOMC meeting, testing central bank independence.
Sep 6, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesFederal Reserve Terminates Enforcement Actions Against United Texas Bank and Quontic Bank Entities
The Federal Reserve Board announced the termination of enforcement actions against United Texas Bank, Quontic Bank Acquisition Corp., and Quontic Bank Holdings Corp., removing regulatory compliance restrictions that had constrained each institution's operational flexibility
Sep 5, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesEconomists Abandon K-Shape Consensus as Post-Pandemic Recovery Defies Simple Categorisation
Economists are moving away from the K-shaped post-pandemic recovery framework as new data emerges
Aug 30, 2026
🇺🇸 United StatesSPY Looks 7.8% Overvalued as Warsh's Hawkish Jackson Hole Speech Rattles Market Valuations
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) appears 7.8% overvalued on GuruFocus's GF Value metric as inflation concerns persist and rate hike expectations build
Aug 29, 2026