Economy & Fed Watch

Federal Reserve policy, interest rates, inflation, GDP and macro trends — live data from Federal Reserve (FRED)

Economy News

Citadel Warns Second-Round Inflation Will Force Fed Rate Hike by September

Citadel warns the June Fed pause is temporary, with second-round inflation effects — wage-price spiral dynamics — likely to force a September rate hike despite current market pricing.

Jun 19, 2026

🇺🇸 United States

Trump Says He 'Loves' Inflation as May CPI Hits 4.2%, a Three-Year High That Rattles Wall Street and Reprices Rate-Cut Bets

May CPI surged to 4.2% — a three-year high driven by Iran conflict energy effects — while Trump's 'love' for inflation rattled Wall Street and eliminated remaining 2026 rate-cut expectations.

Jun 14, 2026

🇺🇸 United States

US Job Openings Jump to 7.6 Million in April — Highest in Nearly a Year — Complicating Fed Rate-Cut Calculus

US job openings surged to 7.6 million in April — the highest in nearly a year — with a 731,000 monthly jump that complicates the Fed's rate-cut narrative and strengthens the case for Philadelphia Fed President Harker's hawkish rate-hike signal.

Jun 3, 2026

🇺🇸 United States

Key Economic Indicators

FRED

Fed Funds Rate

3.63%

Jul 2026

CPI Inflation

Year-over-year

3.46%

Jun 2026

10-Year Treasury

Yield

4.60%

Jul 2026

Unemployment Rate

4.20%

Jun 2026

Real GDP Growth

Quarter-over-quarter

1.50%

Apr 2026

M2 Money Supply

Year-over-year growth

5.53%

Jun 2026

Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) · Updated monthly

Live Markets

Economic Calendar

Economy & Fed Watch

Citadel Warns Second-Round Inflation Will Force Fed Rate Hike by September

Trump Says He 'Loves' Inflation as May CPI Hits 4.2%, a Three-Year High That Rattles Wall Street and Reprices Rate-Cut Bets

US Job Openings Jump to 7.6 Million in April — Highest in Nearly a Year — Complicating Fed Rate-Cut Calculus

UK Exports to US Plunge 25% After Trump's Liberation Day Tariffs

Fed & OCC Grant Morgan Stanley Bank Section 23A Exemption

BLS Monthly Jobs Report: Millions Change Jobs Even as Net Gains Stay Small

FRED Blog: NASDAQ Daily Index & Volatility Data Now Available on FRED

Iran's Economy in Freefall as War Deepens Currency and Oil Crisis

Key Economic Indicators

Fed's Waller Cites Iran War & Labor Risks as Reasons to Hold Rates

US March Jobs Report Forecast: 59,000 Gains, Unemployment at 4.4%

Fed Terminates Enforcement Actions Against Goldman Sachs, Crédit Agricole, Mega Bank

US Agencies Finalize Updates to Community Bank Leverage Ratio Framework