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Inflation

Inflation News

The rate at which the general price level of goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power.

What is Inflation?

Inflation is measured by tracking the price of a basket of goods and services over time. The two main measures are CPI (Consumer Price Index) โ€” what consumers pay โ€” and PPI (Producer Price Index) โ€” what producers pay. Core inflation excludes volatile food and energy. Most central banks target 2% inflation; rates persistently above or below this trigger policy responses.

Why it matters for investors

Inflation affects every economic actor: consumers (purchasing power), savers (real returns on cash and bonds), borrowers (real cost of debt), companies (input costs and pricing power), and central banks (interest rate decisions). Sustained high inflation forces central banks to raise rates aggressively, often triggering recessions. Sustained low inflation can signal weak demand.

Frequently asked questions

Why do central banks target 2% inflation?

A small positive inflation rate provides a buffer against deflation, accommodates relative price changes, and reflects measurement bias in CPI. Zero is too close to deflation; high inflation creates uncertainty.

What is stagflation?

A combination of stagnant economic growth (or recession) and persistent high inflation. Notoriously difficult for central banks because tools to fight inflation worsen growth and vice versa. Famous example: 1970s US.

How do I protect against inflation?

Common hedges include: equities (over long periods), real estate, gold (mixed evidence), TIPS/inflation-linked bonds, commodities. Cash and nominal bonds lose purchasing power.

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช UAE / MENA

Gold Falls 0.7% to $4,037 as Federal Reserve Policy Signals and US Inflation Data Weigh on Prices

Spot gold fell 0.7% to $4,037.98 as Federal Reserve policy signals and upcoming US inflation data prompted investor repositioning

Oct 29, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง United Kingdom

OBR Warns UK Inflation Set to Peak Near 3.75% as Growth Forecast Cut in Budget Statement

The Office for Budget Responsibility forecast UK inflation peaking at around 3.75% early next year, exceeding prior forecasts

Oct 28, 2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada

Economists Press Bank of Canada for More Rate Hikes as Policymakers Weigh Inflation Stamping

Bay Street economists are calling for at least one additional Bank of Canada rate hike to definitively stamp out persistent inflation

Oct 28, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช UAE / MENA

World Bank Raises 2026 Commodity Price Forecast 23% on Middle East Conflict and Supply Disruptions

World Bank raised its 2026 commodity price forecast by 23% citing Middle East conflict, depleted oil inventories, grain shipment disruptions, and weather risks

Oct 28, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Americans Bear the Biggest Share of $468B War-Driven Global Fuel Cost Surge

Global fuel inflation from the Middle East conflict totals $468 billion, with Americans paying the largest national share

Oct 28, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง United Kingdom

UK Inflation Set to Peak at 3.75% as OBR Forecasts Growth Slowdown in Budget Report

The Office for Budget Responsibility forecast UK inflation rising to a peak of around 3.75% by early 2027

Oct 28, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australia

RBA Expected to Raise Interest Rates on Melbourne Cup Day as Australia's Inflation Battle Persists

The Reserve Bank of Australia is widely expected to raise interest rates on Melbourne Cup Day as inflation remains above target

Oct 28, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

El Niรฑo Index Hits 18-Year High as India Faces Agriculture and Commodity Risks

Nino3.4 index reached its highest level since 2008 as of October 25, signaling a very strong El Niรฑo event

Oct 28, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง United Kingdom

Unilever Raises Prices 2.3% in Q3 as Iran War-Driven Energy Costs Squeeze Consumer Goods Margins

Unilever raised prices by 2.3% in its Q3 as rising energy costs driven by the Iran war pressured the Dove and Lipton owner

Oct 28, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

Japan Inflation Indicator Surges, Raising Odds of BoJ Rate Hike

Oct 28, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Singapore

Japan Trend Inflation at 3-Year High Cements BOJ Rate Hike Expectations

Japan's trend inflation index hit a 3-year high with its biggest year-on-year rise since October 2023, cementing the case for a Bank of Japan rate hike and extending yen carry trade unwinding risks.

Oct 27, 2026

Japan

Bank of Japan Hits Inflation Milestone as Policy Pivot Bets Intensify Ahead of Rate Hike Cycle

Japan's core CPI rose to 2.8% YoY in September, exceeding the BOJ's 2% target for a record 31st consecutive month.

Oct 26, 2026

Gold

Gold Slides to 3-Month Low as Fed Rate-Hike Expectations Weigh on Precious Metals

Gold fell to a 3-month low near $2,580/oz as stronger-than-expected US jobs data revived Fed rate-hike pricing.

Oct 26, 2026

Gold

Gold Climbs as Softer Oil Eases Inflation Fears and Fed Rate Path Recalibrates

Gold futures rose ~0.8% to near $2,680/oz as easing crude oil prices reduced near-term inflation expectations.

Oct 26, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

Fed Expected to Hold Rates Steady at Upcoming Meeting as Inflation Persists

The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady at its upcoming November meeting amid persistent high inflation.

Oct 26, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany

German Government Weighs Electricity Tax Cut as Fiscal Pressures Force Policy Tradeoffs

Germany's federal government is pursuing an electricity tax reduction as an alternative to the fuel discount (Tankrabatt), constrained by tight fiscal budgets.

Oct 26, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Singapore

Singapore PM Pledges Action on Living Costs and Job Quality in Policy Agenda

Singapore PM Lawrence Wong outlined a full-term government agenda prioritizing living cost reduction and higher-quality job creation.

Oct 25, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง United Kingdom

UK Budget: Chancellor Healey Faces Test as Cost-of-Living Relief Meets Fiscal Constraints

UK Chancellor John Healey's first budget aims to provide 'breathing space' from cost-of-living pressures while navigating strict fiscal rules inherited from the previous government

Oct 25, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany

ECB October Rate Meeting Tests Euro-Area Unity as France Applies Political Pressure

The ECB's October rate meeting arrives with euro-area monetary unity under pressure from French political dynamics

Oct 24, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

India Gold, Silver Hit 3-Month Low as Crude Surge and Hawkish Fed Signals Drive Bullion Selloff

Gold and silver extended losses in Indian and overseas markets, hitting 3-month lows as crude prices rose and Fed hawkish signals intensified

Oct 24, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan

Japan Core Inflation Hits 2.1% for First Time in Nine Months, Strengthening BOJ Rate-Hike Case

Japan core inflation accelerated to 2.1% in September, exceeding the Bank of Japan 2% target for the first time in nine months.

Oct 24, 2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada

Canada Bond Yields Climb as Bank of Canada Rate Hike Odds Rise on Sticky Inflation

Canadian bond yields have climbed as persistent inflation drives markets to price higher Bank of Canada rate hike odds, with expert Robert McLister warning a hike would signal further increases ahead.

Oct 23, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Japan Inflation Tops BOJ 2% Target for First Time in 2026, Strengthening December Rate Hike Case

Japan's key inflation gauge exceeded the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the first time in 2026, strengthening the case for a widely expected December rate hike and raising the stakes for the global yen carry trade.

Oct 23, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Singapore

US Business Activity Hits Strongest Growth Since 2015 as Input Prices Surge to 2022 Highs

US business activity expanded at its strongest pace since 2015, according to the latest PMI composite data.

Oct 23, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

Gold Dips Below $4,100, Silver Plunges 4.5% as Middle East Tensions Stoke Fed Rate Hike Fears

Spot gold fell 2.27% to $4,047.39 per ounce on October 22 amid escalating Middle East tensions.

Oct 23, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

RBI Divided Over Further Rate Hikes as India Inflation Approaches 6% Tolerance Band

RBI MPC minutes reveal internal division over additional rate increases as India inflation nears the 6% upper tolerance band, with economists projecting further hikes in December.

Oct 23, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

RBI Signals No Near-Term Rate Cuts as October MPC Minutes Confirm Hawkish Stance

RBI October MPC minutes explicitly stated rate cuts are off the table after a unanimous 25 bps hike brought the repo rate to 5.5%.

Oct 22, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท South Korea

Korea's New Central Bank Governor Prioritises Inflation Over Growth in First Six Months

Bank of Korea Governor Shin Hyun-song has emphasised inflation above growth and exchange rate in his first six months, with two consecutive rate hikes in July-August signalling aggressive anti-inflation stance.

Oct 22, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany

German Economist Declares Neoliberal Capitalism Finished, Calls for Planned Market Economy

Economist Tom Krebs says Germany is in its worst post-war economic crisis and advocates a "planned market economy" with price controls and a far more active state role.

Oct 22, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

UK Inflation Hits 3.5% in September on Iran-Linked Fuel Surge, Bolstering BOE Rate Hike Bets

UK consumer prices rose 3.5% year-on-year in September, up from 3.1% in August, driven by fuel prices linked to the Iran war conflict.

Oct 22, 2026