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Inflation

Inflation News

The rate at which the general price level of goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power.

What is Inflation?

Inflation is measured by tracking the price of a basket of goods and services over time. The two main measures are CPI (Consumer Price Index) โ€” what consumers pay โ€” and PPI (Producer Price Index) โ€” what producers pay. Core inflation excludes volatile food and energy. Most central banks target 2% inflation; rates persistently above or below this trigger policy responses.

Why it matters for investors

Inflation affects every economic actor: consumers (purchasing power), savers (real returns on cash and bonds), borrowers (real cost of debt), companies (input costs and pricing power), and central banks (interest rate decisions). Sustained high inflation forces central banks to raise rates aggressively, often triggering recessions. Sustained low inflation can signal weak demand.

Frequently asked questions

Why do central banks target 2% inflation?

A small positive inflation rate provides a buffer against deflation, accommodates relative price changes, and reflects measurement bias in CPI. Zero is too close to deflation; high inflation creates uncertainty.

What is stagflation?

A combination of stagnant economic growth (or recession) and persistent high inflation. Notoriously difficult for central banks because tools to fight inflation worsen growth and vice versa. Famous example: 1970s US.

How do I protect against inflation?

Common hedges include: equities (over long periods), real estate, gold (mixed evidence), TIPS/inflation-linked bonds, commodities. Cash and nominal bonds lose purchasing power.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

India's Retail Inflation at 4.4%, Wholesale at 9.8% in August: Rate Hike Risk Rises

India's retail inflation (CPI) reached 4.4% in July, the highest in the current data series

Sep 15, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

European Natural Gas Prices Surge Past $1,000 per Cubic Meter Amid Energy Crisis

European natural gas (TTF) prices surged past $1,000 per cubic meter, a critical threshold not seen since 2022

Sep 14, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Singapore

Trump Claims $5,000 Direct Payments Easy for Federal Budget as Congress Approval Remains Uncertain

President Trump characterized $5,000 direct payments as easy to fit in the federal budget, but Congressional approval is required before any disbursement.

Sep 14, 2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada

Bank of Canada December Rate Hike Odds Rise as Oil Drives Inflation Higher, Economists Warn

Odds of a Bank of Canada rate hike in December have risen as oil prices push Canadian inflation higher.

Sep 14, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Oil Surge Revives Bank of England Rate-Rise Bets Beyond This Week's Hold

A surge in oil prices has revived market expectations that the Bank of England could raise interest rates later in 2026

Sep 14, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

US Markets Surge as Oil Retreats and Fed Rate-Hike Bets Firm

US equities advanced broadly as declining oil prices eased inflation pressure and improved corporate cost outlooks

Sep 14, 2026

Germany

German Petrol Prices Stay High as SPD Calls for Fuel Price Cap Amid Oil Surge

German petrol and diesel prices have remained stubbornly high as the global oil price surge feeds through to European pump prices, with SPD politicians calling for a fuel price cap to shield consumers โ€” a proposal the current government coalition has not endorsed.

Sep 14, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Soaring Oil Prices Lock In Fed September Rate Hike With 90% Market Certainty

Soaring oil prices have put the Federal Reserve on track for a September rate hike, with 90% of CME FedWatch traders pricing in a 25bps move.

Sep 14, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Singapore

Gold Holds Steady as Hot US Inflation Boosts Fed Rate Hike Bets

Gold held steady as a hotter-than-expected US inflation reading increased the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike.

Sep 14, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Singapore

Gold Retreats as US Core CPI Rises 0.3% in August, Strengthening Fed Rate-Hike Expectations

US core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month in August, reinforcing Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations

Sep 14, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Record Diesel Prices Expose Global Refinery Bottleneck, No Quick Fix in Sight

Global diesel prices hit record highs as refinery disruptions abroad meet near-peak US processing capacity

Sep 13, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

Veteran Fund Manager Warns Fed Rate Hike Risk Remains Elevated Ahead of Next FOMC

A veteran fund manager predicts the Federal Reserve may still deliver interest rate hikes, contradicting consensus expectations of easing

Sep 13, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

India Markets Face Fed Decision, Inflation, and Oil Shock After Five-Week Nifty Slide

Sensex fell 1,733 points (-2.26%) and Nifty dropped 500 points (-2%) last week, extending a five-week losing streak

Sep 13, 2026

Global

Oil and Gas Markets Signal Winter Crisis as Central Banks Reassess Rate Paths Amid Supply Shock

Bloomberg analysis signals an emerging winter energy crisis as surging oil, gas, and diesel prices force central banks and governments to reassess monetary policy trajectories

Sep 13, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

California Diesel Prices Hit Record Highs, Raising Logistics and Manufacturing Costs Statewide

California diesel prices have hit record highs, raising logistics and transportation costs across the state's agriculture, construction, and retail distribution sectors amid a broader oil price surge.

Sep 13, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

US Markets Face Turbulence as Oil Price Surge Compounds Persistent Inflation Pressure on Equities

US equity markets face turbulence as an oil price surge compounds persistent inflation, pressuring AAPL, GOOGL, META, and growth stocks while benefiting commodity names like FCX and energy plays.

Sep 13, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australia

Oil Spike Squeezes Airlines as Jet Fuel, Petrol and Diesel Prices Escalate Amid Ongoing War

Oil price surge is escalating petrol, diesel, and jet fuel costs, squeezing Qantas and Australian airlines as war-driven oil volatility forces a passenger ticket price pass-through decision.

Sep 13, 2026

Federal Reserve

Fed Rate-Hike Odds Surge as Warsh Faces Inflation-Weary Markets

Sep 13, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

US August CPI Beats Estimates, Bringing Fed Rate Hike Closer as Indian Markets Watch Closely

US consumer prices accelerated in August with core inflation posting its largest monthly rise in four months

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

August CPI Surge Pushes Fed Rate Hike Bets to 87% as US Markets Rebound

August CPI accelerated beyond forecasts, driving Fed rate hike probability to 87% in overnight futures

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

Record Mobile Service Price Surge Fuels Inflation, Complicates Fed Rate Decision

Mobile service prices posted a record monthly rise in 2026, adding measurable pressure to the services CPI component watched by the Federal Reserve

Sep 12, 2026

JPMorgan

JPMorgan Adds to Wall Street Chorus Forecasting Fed Rate Hikes on Persistent Inflation Concerns

JPMorgan analysts have predicted continued Federal Reserve rate hikes driven by persistent inflation concerns, adding the largest US bank's voice to a growing consensus among major Wall Street institutions forecasting sustained monetary tightening.

Sep 12, 2026

Inflation

August Inflation Stays Stubbornly High, Lifting Odds of a Federal Reserve Rate Hike Next Week

US inflation remained stubbornly elevated in August, with data signaling to markets that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates at next week's September 19-20 FOMC meeting despite earlier hopes for a policy pause.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

Gold Rises as Oil Eases and Fed Rate Hike Bets Firm โ€” Inflation Hedge Demand Drives Cross-Asset Divergence

Gold ticked higher Friday even as oil eased and Fed rate hike probability rose, with investors treating the precious metal as an inflation hedge rather than a rate-sensitive asset โ€” a divergence from typical market correlations.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

August Inflation Ran Hot at 0.3% Monthly Core โ€” But a Silver Lining Is Driving Stocks Higher

August core CPI rose 0.3% monthly, pushing Fed hike odds to 85%, yet US equities gained as a 'silver lining' in economic resilience and soft-landing signals offset the hawkish inflation data.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

Fed Hike Probability Hits 86.7% and the Dow Rose 500 Points Anyway โ€” Here's Why

Motley Fool documents the counterintuitive market reaction: August CPI pushed Fed hike odds to 86.7% while the Dow gained 500 points, reflecting terminal-rate positioning and a 'buy the confirmed event' pattern.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

SPY Overvalued 11-12% on GF Model as August CPI Holds at 3.4% and Fed Hike Looms

GuruFocus dual analysis shows SPY 11.2-12.4% above GF Value fair estimate as August CPI held at 3.4%, with Fed rate hikes creating multiple-compression risk that compounds the overvaluation concern.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

SBI's Research Arm Forecasts Two 25 Bps RBI Rate Hikes in October and December

SBI's Economic Research Department forecasts two 25 bps RBI repo rate hikes in October and December 2026, citing $100+ crude oil and CPI inflation showing signs of generalization across categories.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

Diesel Surge Near 52-Week High Pressures US Trucking Margins as BNO Climbs With Brent

US diesel prices near 52-week highs and BNO ETF near highs reflect tight Brent crude supply pressuring transportation sector margins and sustaining CPI inflation inputs.

Sep 12, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท South Korea

Korean Analysts: US August CPI 'Insufficient to Justify Fed Rate Pause' as Monthly Inflation Accelerates

Korean financial media consensus is that the 0.3% core CPI monthly beat makes a September Fed rate pause unjustifiable, with Bank of Korea policy implications debated across major outlets.

Sep 12, 2026