GDP (Gross Domestic Product)

GDP (Gross Domestic Product) News

The total monetary value of all goods and services produced in an economy — the headline measure of economic size and growth.

What is GDP (Gross Domestic Product)?

GDP measures the total output of an economy, calculated three equivalent ways: production (sum of value added across industries), expenditure (consumption + investment + government spending + net exports), or income (wages + profits + taxes - subsidies). Released quarterly in most countries (US: Bureau of Economic Analysis; India: MoSPI). Real GDP adjusts for inflation; nominal GDP does not.

Why it matters for investors

GDP growth is the most-cited measure of economic health. Two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth is a common (but informal) recession definition. GDP per capita measures living standards. GDP composition tells you what drives an economy — services, manufacturing, exports, government spending. China's GDP composition is shifting from investment to consumption; India's is shifting from agriculture to services.

Frequently asked questions

GDP vs. GNP?

GDP measures output produced within a country's borders (regardless of producer nationality). GNP measures output by a country's residents (regardless of where produced). Most countries use GDP as the primary measure.

What is a recession?

No single official definition. Common rule of thumb: two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth. The US National Bureau of Economic Research uses a broader judgment incorporating employment, income, sales, and production.

Why does GDP get revised?

Initial estimates are based on incomplete data and modeling. As actual data comes in (over months and years), estimates are revised. Annual benchmark revisions can change historical GDP by 1%+ retroactively.

🇨🇳 China

China Ministry of Finance Relaunches 7-Year Treasury Bonds as Anhui Banking Deposits Surpass ¥10.5 Trillion

China's Ministry of Finance re-issues 7-year treasury bonds targeting ¥100 billion as Anhui provincial banking deposits surpass ¥10.5 trillion with 9.33% growth.

Aug 1, 2026

🇨🇳 China

China July Manufacturing PMI Falls to 49.2%, Signaling Factory Activity Contraction

China July manufacturing PMI falls to 49.2%, below 50-point expansion threshold

Aug 1, 2026

🇨🇦 Canada

Canada GDP Gains, Ontario Nickel Mine Approved, Oilpatch Growing; Cameco Eyes Westinghouse IPO

Canada posts GDP gains while Ontario approves a nickel mine; Cameco advancing Westinghouse IPO plans

Jul 31, 2026

🇰🇷 South Korea

US June Core PCE Holds at 3.3% as Consumer Spending Grows 0.4%, Fed Pause Extended

US June PCE data showed consumer spending up 0.4% in real terms while core inflation held at 3.3% annually, keeping the Federal Reserve on hold and confirming that a near-term rate cut remains premature.

Jul 31, 2026

🇨🇳 China

China Cultural Sector Revenue Rises 4.6% in H1 2026 as New-Format Businesses Lead Growth

China's above-scale cultural enterprises reported total revenue of 7.2026 trillion yuan in H1 2026, growing 4.6% year-on-year

Jul 31, 2026

🇨🇳 China

China-US Profit Gap Widens in Fortune 500 as Structural Inefficiencies Swallow Chinese Margins

Chinese companies in the Fortune Global 500 remain strong in revenue scale but are falling further behind US peers in profitability, per the latest annual ranking analysis.

Jul 30, 2026

🇨🇳 China

China H1 2026 GDP Grows 4.7% as Film Industry Reckons With 700M Yuan Loss and Non-Ticket Pivot

China's H1 2026 GDP grew 4.7% to 69.6 trillion yuan while seven film companies lost nearly 700 million yuan amid a structural shift toward non-ticket revenue

Jul 30, 2026

🇨🇳 China

China Q2 Total RMB Loans Hit 282.63 Trillion Yuan, Up 5.2%, as Corporate Lending Accelerates

China's total RMB loans outstanding reached 282.63 trillion yuan at Q2 2026 end, growing 5.2% year-on-year, according to PBOC data

Jul 29, 2026

🇺🇸 United States

South Korea Q2 GDP Beats Forecast as AI-Driven Chip Exports Surge 163%

South Korea's second-quarter GDP exceeded economist forecasts, driven by a 163% year-on-year surge in chip exports.

Jul 24, 2026

🇸🇬 Singapore

Japan July PMI: Factory Activity Stays Firm as Export Orders Hit Fastest Growth in 4 Months

Japan's manufacturing PMI stayed positive in July as factory output surged, signalling continued industrial expansion.

Jul 24, 2026

🌐 Global

South Korea GDP Beats Forecast, Dampening BOK Rate Cut Bets

South Korea's Q2 2026 GDP growth surpassed consensus expectations, driven by semiconductor exports and consumer recovery, complicating the Bank of Korea's easing trajectory and boosting Korean chipmakers.

Jul 24, 2026

🇮🇳 India

South Korea Q2 GDP Beats Estimates at +0.6% as Semiconductor Exports Drive Recovery

South Korea's GDP expanded 0.6% in Q2 2026, beating estimates as robust semiconductor exports from Samsung and SK Hynix offset weak construction investment, reinforcing the memory chip cycle recovery.

Jul 23, 2026

🇨🇳 China

China H1 Stamp Duty Jumps 97% as Securities Trading Volumes Surge on Market Rally

China's H1 2026 securities stamp duty revenue surged 97.3% year-on-year, directly reflecting the surge in stock market trading volumes following the equity rally

Jul 23, 2026

🇨🇦 Canada

South Korea GDP Beats Q2 Estimates as AI-Driven Chip Boom Fuels Export Surge

South Korea's economy grew faster than expected in Q2 2026, driven by an AI-fueled semiconductor export boom that supports further interest rate increases

Jul 22, 2026

🇸🇬 Singapore

Investing in a K-Shaped Economy: Winners, Losers, and What to Watch

K-shaped economies create stark divergence between thriving and struggling companies requiring selective stock picking strategy.

Jul 22, 2026

🇦🇺 Australia

AI Is Reshaping the Australian Economy, But Measuring Its Impact Remains Elusive

AI is broadly reshaping Australia's economy, but economists and policymakers lack reliable tools to measure its current impact on GDP, productivity, or employment — a measurement gap with direct implications for sector allocation and equity market multiples.

Jul 21, 2026

🇬🇧 United Kingdom

Restoring UK Health to 2014 Levels Would Add 2% to GDP and Generate £72bn Fiscal Dividend

A Health Foundation paper finds restoring UK population health to 2014 levels would add 2% to GDP and generate a £72 billion fiscal dividend, framing health as an economic asset.

Jul 20, 2026

🇰🇷 South Korea

South Korea Q2 College-Graduate Unemployment Hits 5-Year High at 481,000; Youth Bear Brunt

South Korea's Q2 2026 college-graduate unemployment reached 481,000 — a 5-year high and the worst since the COVID-19 crisis in 2021, with youth aged 20-39 accounting for 64% of jobless graduates.

Jul 19, 2026

🇸🇬 Singapore

Malaysia Q2 GDP Surges to 5.8% on Export-Driven Broad Sectoral Growth

Malaysia's Q2 GDP beat expectations at 5.8%, accelerating from Q1 as export growth powered broad-based sector gains, reinforcing ASEAN economic resilience.

Jul 17, 2026

🇸🇬 Singapore

US June Retail Sales Rise Just 0.2% as Consumers Pull Back on Gas Spending

US retail purchase value rose just 0.2% in June, sharply decelerating from a revised 1.0% advance in May

Jul 17, 2026

🇸🇬 Singapore

Malaysia GDP Surges Unexpectedly to 5.8% as Exports Boom and Inflation Cools

Malaysia's GDP unexpectedly surged to 5.8% growth on export strength across all sectors while consumer inflation cooled, giving BNM policy flexibility and lifting ASEAN investment sentiment.

Jul 17, 2026

🇨🇦 Canada

BMO: US Economic Tide Still Lifts Canada Despite CUSMA and Hormuz Disruption Waves

BMO argues Canada's economic performance remains tightly linked to the US growth cycle, framing CUSMA and Hormuz disruptions as temporary waves that cannot override the underlying US economic tide.

Jul 16, 2026

🇨🇳 China

China Q2 2026 GDP Growth Hits 4.3%, Four-Year Low, Boosting Case for Policy Stimulus

China's Q2 2026 GDP grew at 4.3%, the slowest in nearly four years, as Iran war inflationary fallout suppressed domestic consumption despite strong export performance.

Jul 16, 2026

🇰🇷 South Korea

Korea Economy 2026: GDP Growth Raised to 3%, Income Gap Widens to 5-Year High Amid Triple-High Pressures

South Korea raised its 2026 GDP growth forecast to 3% on semiconductor strength while income inequality hit a 5-year high; jeonse prices exceed 2021 peaks and a Hormuz oil price spike adds pressure.

Jul 16, 2026

🇰🇷 South Korea

South Korea 2027 Minimum Wage Gap Narrows to KRW 130: Labor Proposes KRW 10,770, Business KRW 10,640

South Korea's 2027 minimum wage negotiations narrowed to a KRW 130 gap — labor at KRW 10,770/hr (4.4% rise) vs business at KRW 10,640/hr (3.1%) — with a final decision imminent.

Jul 15, 2026

🇸🇬 Singapore

Singapore GDP Rises 5.7% in Q2 as AI-Driven Semiconductor Manufacturing Surges

Singapore Q2 2026 GDP grew 5.7% YoY driven by AI semiconductor manufacturing surge per MTI advance estimates

Jul 13, 2026

🌐 Global

Brazil May 2026 Primary Deficit Hits R$53.3 Billion, Wider Than 2025 but In Line With Market Expectations

Brazil's central government posted a R$53.257 billion primary deficit in May 2026, in line with market expectations and Reuters economist estimates

Jun 30, 2026

🇯🇵 Japan

Japan Retail Sales Beat 1.9% in May, Bolstering BOJ Rate Normalization Case and Domestic Consumption Story

Japan retail sales grew 1.9% year-over-year in May, exceeding expectations and strengthening the Bank of Japan's case for gradual rate normalization as domestic consumption recovers sustainably.

Jun 29, 2026

🇺🇸 United States

US Economy'\''s Mixed Report Card: Growth Beats, But Inflation and High Mortgage Rates Complicate Fed'\''s Path

The US economy posted above-consensus growth while inflation stayed elevated and layoffs remained low, leaving the Fed in a prolonged holding pattern that keeps mortgage rates high.

Jun 28, 2026

🇨🇳 China

China's First Privately-Controlled High-Speed Rail Hits 100M Passengers; Pinlu Canal Reaches Milestone

China's first privately-controlled high-speed rail hits 100 million passengers, validating private capital in HSR, while the Pinlu Canal mega-project completes its first caisson installation.

Jun 28, 2026