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GDP (Gross Domestic Product)

GDP (Gross Domestic Product) News

The total monetary value of all goods and services produced in an economy — the headline measure of economic size and growth.

What is GDP (Gross Domestic Product)?

GDP measures the total output of an economy, calculated three equivalent ways: production (sum of value added across industries), expenditure (consumption + investment + government spending + net exports), or income (wages + profits + taxes - subsidies). Released quarterly in most countries (US: Bureau of Economic Analysis; India: MoSPI). Real GDP adjusts for inflation; nominal GDP does not.

Why it matters for investors

GDP growth is the most-cited measure of economic health. Two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth is a common (but informal) recession definition. GDP per capita measures living standards. GDP composition tells you what drives an economy — services, manufacturing, exports, government spending. China's GDP composition is shifting from investment to consumption; India's is shifting from agriculture to services.

Frequently asked questions

GDP vs. GNP?

GDP measures output produced within a country's borders (regardless of producer nationality). GNP measures output by a country's residents (regardless of where produced). Most countries use GDP as the primary measure.

What is a recession?

No single official definition. Common rule of thumb: two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth. The US National Bureau of Economic Research uses a broader judgment incorporating employment, income, sales, and production.

Why does GDP get revised?

Initial estimates are based on incomplete data and modeling. As actual data comes in (over months and years), estimates are revised. Annual benchmark revisions can change historical GDP by 1%+ retroactively.

🇩🇪 Germany

Germany's Bundesrat Approves July Pension Increase and Pharmacy Services Reform

Germany's Bundesrat approved annual pension increases effective July 1, 2026, and a pharmacy services expansion reform.

Jun 13, 2026

🌐 Global

India Inc's Record Profit-to-GDP Surge Fails to Lift Equities in FY26

Indian corporate profits reached a record high as a share of GDP in fiscal year 2026, per ICICI Securities

Jun 12, 2026

🇧🇷 Brazil

OPEC Holds Global GDP Forecast at 3.1% and Maintains Non-OPEC Supply Growth Outlook for 2026-27

OPEC maintained its 2026 global GDP growth forecast at 3.1%, signalling stable but modest world economic expansion expectations.

Jun 12, 2026

🌐 Global

OPEC Cuts 2026 Global Oil Demand Forecast Again as China and European Recovery Slows

OPEC lowered its 2026 global oil demand growth forecast for the second consecutive time, signalling softening expectations for crude consumption recovery.

Jun 12, 2026

🇨🇳 China

World Bank Slashes Global Growth Forecast as Iran War Risks Threaten 1.3% GDP Scenario

World Bank cut its global growth forecast, citing Iran war risks as a primary downside driver

Jun 11, 2026

🇧🇷 Brazil

Global Intelligence Roundup: India GDP 7.7%, US Inflation 4.2%, France Pledges \u20ac75B AI Plan

India confirmed 7.7% GDP growth, cementing its position as the world's fastest-growing major economy.

Jun 11, 2026

🇮🇳 India

India's Merchandise and Services Exports Hit All-Time High of 63 Billion in FY2025-26

India's total exports reached an all-time high of 63 billion in FY2025-26, according to the Union Ministry of Commerce.

Jun 10, 2026

🇮🇳 India

India Posts Q4 Current Account Surplus Driven by Surge in Services Exports

India posted a Q4 current account surplus as surging services exports offset the goods trade deficit.

Jun 9, 2026

🇸🇬 Singapore

Japan GDP Holds Firm Despite Investment Drop, Keeping BOJ Rate Hike on Track

Japan GDP held firm despite a business investment drop, keeping BOJ on track for a rate hike.

Jun 8, 2026

🇨🇦 Canada

India Current Account Deficit Beats Forecasts as Remittances Surge and Services Exports Hold

India's current account deficit for FY26 came in better than expected as a surge in remittances and strong services receipts offset Iran war trade disruptions.

Jun 8, 2026

🇰🇷 South Korea

Korea's Potential Growth Rate to Break Below 1.5% in 2027 Despite Semiconductor Export Boom

OECD analysis shows Korea's potential growth rate will fall to 1.52% in 2027, first ever breach below 1.5%

Jun 8, 2026

🇰🇷 South Korea

OECD Warns Korea Potential Growth Rate Will Fall Below 1.5% for First Time on Record in 2027

The OECD forecasts South Korea potential GDP growth rate will fall below 1.5% in 2027, a historic first since tracking began

Jun 7, 2026

🌐 Global

India Q4 GDP Beats Estimates on Strong Domestic Demand Before Energy Cost Headwinds Emerge

India's economy grew faster than expected in Q4 FY26, driven by sustained private and government spending before energy cost headwinds emerged

Jun 6, 2026

🇮🇳 India

India GDP Grows 7.7% in FY26, Beating Estimates on Manufacturing Surge

India's economy grew 7.7% in FY26, beating estimates and delivering double-digit expansion in key manufacturing sectors

Jun 6, 2026

🇨🇦 Canada

India Q1 GDP Beats Forecasts on Private and Government Spending Despite Energy Cost Headwinds

India's economy grew faster than expected in Q1, driven by sustained private consumption and government spending

Jun 5, 2026

🇨🇳 China

OECD Cuts 2026 Global Growth to 2.8% as China Fiber Optic Orders Surge Into 2027

The OECD has cut its 2026 global economic growth forecast to 2.8% while China reports fiber optic cable manufacturers are already booked out to 2027 on AI infrastructure and 5G demand.

Jun 4, 2026

🌐 Global

US Services PMI Misses at 50.7 in May, Dollar Holds Firm on Risk Aversion Despite Soft Data

The US S&P Global Services PMI final reading of 50.7 for May missed the 50.9 estimate as the US Dollar held firm on risk-aversion buying despite the soft economic data.

Jun 4, 2026

🇨🇦 Canada

Australia's GDP Growth Slows More Than Expected as Rate Hikes Squeeze Household Spending

Australia's economy grew slower than expected last quarter as households cut back on spending under higher fuel costs and rising interest rates, strengthening the case for RBA rate cuts if the trend continues.

Jun 3, 2026

🇩🇪 Germany

German Trade Union DGB Proposes Wealth Levy on Top 0.1% to Close Budget Gaps

Germany's DGB (trade union federation) proposed a one-time wealth levy on the wealthiest 0.1% to close budget gaps.

Jun 3, 2026

🇸🇬 Singapore

China's Tech Superpower Status Cannot Mask a Structural Domestic Demand Problem

China has established itself as a genuine technology superpower, yet its broader economy continues to slow.

Jun 3, 2026

🇧🇷 Brazil

ISM Manufacturing PMI Hits 4-Year High at 54.0 as China Stalls at 50.0 and Eurozone Slows

The US ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 54.0% in May — the strongest reading since May 2022 — extending the sector expansion streak to five consecutive months.

Jun 2, 2026

🇬🇧 United Kingdom

UK Manufacturing PMI Hits Four-Year High, Beating Analyst Forecasts Despite Rising Inflation

The UK Manufacturing PMI exceeded analyst expectations and the flash estimate of 53.7, reaching a four-year high in the latest reading.

Jun 2, 2026

🌐 Global

France Manufacturing PMI Falls to 49.7 in Contraction Territory Amid Energy Price Surge

France's Manufacturing PMI dropped to 49.7, entering contraction territory below the 50.0 expansion/contraction threshold.

Jun 1, 2026

🇮🇳 India

India Frozen Shrimp Exports Hit ₹49,037 Crore, Lead Record FY2026 Seafood Earnings

Frozen shrimp generated ₹49,037.93 crore in FY2026 and accounted for 40.19% of total seafood export quantity.

Jun 1, 2026

🇮🇳 India

India Seafood Exports Hit All-Time High in FY2026: 19.72 Lakh MT Worth Over ₹73,000 Crore

India's seafood exports reached a record 19,72,018 metric tons valued at over ₹73,000 crore in FY2025-26.

Jun 1, 2026

🇮🇳 India

India GST Collections Rise 3.2% to Record ₹1.94 Lakh Crore in May on IGST Import Surge

India's gross GST collections rose 3.2% year-on-year to ₹1.94 lakh crore in May, with Integrated GST at ₹1.11 lakh crore.

Jun 1, 2026

🇮🇳 India

Corporate India Posts 25% Q4 FY26 Profit Surge but Rising Costs Squeeze Operating Margins

Corporate India net profit surged 25.3% in Q4 FY26, but non-operating drivers mask operating margin compression from rising costs.

Jun 1, 2026

🌐 Global

China Manufacturing PMI Holds Contraction Boundary at 50.0 in May as Non-Manufacturing Rises

China NBS Manufacturing PMI held at 50.0 in May (vs 50.3 prior), on the expansion-contraction boundary.

May 31, 2026

🇨🇦 Canada

Statistics Canada Confirms Technical Recession as Bank of Canada Faces Policy Dilemma

Statistics Canada officially confirms Canada has entered a technical recession, forcing Bank of Canada to reassess rate policy between inflation discipline and economic support

May 31, 2026

🇺🇸 United States

Chicago PMI Surges to 62.7, Outperforming Expectations in Sign of Robust US Midwest Expansion

Chicago PMI surged to 62.7, significantly outperforming expectations and signaling robust expansion in US Midwest manufacturing and services activity.

May 30, 2026