GDP (Gross Domestic Product)

GDP (Gross Domestic Product) News

The total monetary value of all goods and services produced in an economy — the headline measure of economic size and growth.

What is GDP (Gross Domestic Product)?

GDP measures the total output of an economy, calculated three equivalent ways: production (sum of value added across industries), expenditure (consumption + investment + government spending + net exports), or income (wages + profits + taxes - subsidies). Released quarterly in most countries (US: Bureau of Economic Analysis; India: MoSPI). Real GDP adjusts for inflation; nominal GDP does not.

Why it matters for investors

GDP growth is the most-cited measure of economic health. Two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth is a common (but informal) recession definition. GDP per capita measures living standards. GDP composition tells you what drives an economy — services, manufacturing, exports, government spending. China's GDP composition is shifting from investment to consumption; India's is shifting from agriculture to services.

Frequently asked questions

GDP vs. GNP?

GDP measures output produced within a country's borders (regardless of producer nationality). GNP measures output by a country's residents (regardless of where produced). Most countries use GDP as the primary measure.

What is a recession?

No single official definition. Common rule of thumb: two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth. The US National Bureau of Economic Research uses a broader judgment incorporating employment, income, sales, and production.

Why does GDP get revised?

Initial estimates are based on incomplete data and modeling. As actual data comes in (over months and years), estimates are revised. Annual benchmark revisions can change historical GDP by 1%+ retroactively.

🇨🇳 China

China August Data: Industrial Output Surges 5.2%, Trade Grows 19.8%, Housing Stabilizes

China's industrial value-added grew 5.2% YoY in August, accelerating 0.7 percentage points from July's pace

Sep 16, 2026

🇮🇳 India

India August Trade Deficit Narrows to $26.86 Billion as Goods Exports Surge 26%

India's merchandise exports jumped 26% year-on-year to $43.8 billion in August 2026, the fastest growth in recent years

Sep 16, 2026

🇨🇳 China

China Real Estate Investment Falls 19.9% in First 8 Months of 2026, Residential Down 19.7%

China's National Bureau of Statistics reports real estate development investment of 4.8 trillion yuan for January-August 2026, down 19.9% year-on-year

Sep 16, 2026

🇬🇧 United Kingdom

China's Economy Shows Weakness as Investment Slumps, Raising Pressure for More Stimulus

China's latest economic data reveal weakening domestic activity, with investment declining and adding pressure on policymakers to expand stimulus

Sep 15, 2026

🇰🇷 South Korea

South Korea Tops OECD Leading Indicator Rankings for First Time in 6 Years as $350B US Deal Nears Signing

South Korea's OECD leading indicator hit 102.87, ranking first among 17 nations, as gasoline prices fall for a 17th week and a $350B Korea-US investment MOU approaches signing.

Sep 14, 2026

🇸🇬 Singapore

Trump Claims $5,000 Direct Payments Easy for Federal Budget as Congress Approval Remains Uncertain

President Trump characterized $5,000 direct payments as easy to fit in the federal budget, but Congressional approval is required before any disbursement.

Sep 14, 2026

🇰🇷 South Korea

EU Labor Market Churn: Only 23% of Q1 Unemployed Found Work in Q2 2026

23.2% of EU Q1 unemployed — roughly 3.1 million people — transitioned to employment by Q2 2026 across the 27-member bloc

Sep 14, 2026

🇬🇧 United Kingdom

Citi Forecasts Four Bank of England Rate Hikes in the Next Year Despite Surprise UK Growth

Citi forecasts the Bank of England will hike interest rates four times within the next year as inflation pressures override growth surprise

Sep 11, 2026

🇬🇧 United Kingdom

UK Borrowing Cost Surge Could Force Healey into Emergency Budget of Spending Cuts

Surging UK government bond yields could force Chancellor John Healey into an emergency Budget involving significant spending cuts to reassure markets about Britain's ballooning fiscal deficit.

Sep 10, 2026

🇨🇳 China

Henan Jiaozuo Targets ¥60 Billion Cultural Tourism Economy by 2030 Under China's 15th Five-Year Plan

Henan Jiaozuo, birthplace of Tai Chi, has set a ¥60 billion cultural tourism industry target by 2030 with cultural tourism to exceed 10% of local GDP under China's 15th Five-Year Plan.

Sep 10, 2026

🇨🇳 China

China August Trade Surges 19.8% for Fourth Straight Month as Forex Reserves Top $3.44 Trillion

China's August total trade rose 19.8% year-on-year — exports up 18.6%, imports up 21.7% — the fourth straight month of double-digit growth

Sep 9, 2026

🇬🇧 United Kingdom

China August Exports Jump 25% for Fourth Straight Month on AI Hardware Demand Surge

China's August exports jumped 25% year-on-year, with AI infrastructure hardware cited as a primary driver

Sep 9, 2026

🇺🇸 United States

Japan Q2 GDP Surpasses Estimates, Pushing BOJ Rate Hike Odds Higher

Japan Q2 GDP exceeded initial estimates, reinforcing Bank of Japan rate hike expectations with yen and bond markets positioning for a policy shift.

Sep 8, 2026

🇩🇪 Germany

AfD Record State Election Result in Saxony-Anhalt Triggers Germany Economic Consequence Debate

The AfD achieved a record result in Saxony-Anhalt's state election, prompting immediate market and economic commentary

Sep 8, 2026

🇨🇳 China

China Forex Reserves Rise to $3.44 Trillion in August, Up $19.5B Month-on-Month

China's foreign exchange reserves reached $3,438.3 billion at end-August 2026, rising $19.5B from July

Sep 8, 2026

🇸🇬 Singapore

China Exports Surge 25%, Imports Jump 28% on High-Tech and AI Demand

China's exports rose 25% year-on-year in August 2026, driven by high-tech and AI-related goods demand

Sep 8, 2026

🇮🇳 India

Japan Q2 GDP Revised Up to 1.4% Annual Growth, Strengthening BOJ Rate Hike Case

Japan's Q2 2026 GDP growth was revised upward to 1.4% annual rate from an initial 1.1%, driven by stronger-than-expected business investment

Sep 8, 2026

🇸🇬 Singapore

Philippine Jobless Rate Hits Four-Year High in July as Economic Growth Slows

Philippine jobless rate surged to a four-year high in July 2026, with Metro Manila logging the highest unemployment rate driven by an influx of new graduates

Sep 8, 2026

🇩🇪 Germany

German Press Reviews Revised Economic Forecast with Cautious Optimism After Prolonged Pessimism

German editorial commentary from Nürnberger Zeitung and Badische Zeitung reflects cautious optimism as economic research institutes raised growth forecasts

Sep 5, 2026

🇨🇳 China

China Sets ¥7 Trillion Sports Industry Target by 2030 as Domestic Consumption Strategy Accelerates

China's National Sports Administration set a ¥7 trillion sports industry target by 2030 as the 15th Five-Year Plan drives domestic consumption expansion

Sep 4, 2026

🇦🇪 UAE / MENA

Saudi Arabia PMI Surges to 53.8 Six-Month High as Non-Oil Private Sector Accelerates in August

Saudi Arabia August PMI reached 53.8 — a six-month high — as non-oil private sector output accelerated and business optimism improved heading into Q4.

Sep 4, 2026

🇮🇳 India

Jefferies: India Nominal GDP to Hit 12% in FY27 But Elevated Valuations Cap Broad Market Upside

India nominal GDP growth forecast to accelerate to 11.5-12% in FY27 per Jefferies, supporting earnings but not necessarily broad market returns.

Sep 3, 2026

🇩🇪 Germany

Bundesbank Upgrades German 2026 Growth Forecast to Double Prior Expectations

Bundesbank President Nagel says German economy growing at twice the rate previously projected for 2026

Sep 3, 2026

🇦🇪 UAE / MENA

Kuwait Non-Oil PMI Surges to 53.6 as Output and Orders Hit 7-Month High

Kuwait PMI surges to 53.6 in August, with output and orders growing at fastest rate since February

Sep 3, 2026

🇩🇪 Germany

Germany's Coalition Tax Reform Advances to Cabinet — Business Relief and Family Entlastung Package

Germany's Union-SPD coalition is advancing a tax reform package through the federal cabinet combining corporate and household relief measures aimed at stimulating investment and consumption.

Sep 3, 2026

India

India's Q1 GDP Beat Reignites RBI Rate Hike Debate Ahead of September Policy Meeting

India's stronger-than-expected Q1 FY27 GDP growth has sparked debate among top economists on whether the RBI should now consider a rate hike, with rate-sensitive sectors repricing ahead of the September MPC meeting.

Sep 2, 2026

🇰🇷 South Korea

Korea FY27 Budget Hits Record 820.9 Trillion Won With New 162T Future Response Fund

Korea's Budget Minister announced FY27 spending of a record 820.9 trillion won and a new 162.3 trillion won Future Response Fund.

Sep 1, 2026

🇮🇳 India

India Q1 GDP Surges 7.8%, Brokerages Lift FY27 Forecasts as RBI Rate Hike Risk Returns

India Q1 FY27 GDP surged 7.8% year-on-year, beating consensus forecasts and cementing India as the world's fastest-growing major economy.

Sep 1, 2026

Gdp

India Q1 FY27 GDP Growth Prints at 7.8%, Beating Estimates, as Economists Flag Inflation and Geopolitical Red Flags

India's Q1 FY27 GDP growth came in at 7.8%, beating consensus estimates and sustaining the country's position as the world's fastest-growing major economy

Sep 1, 2026

Fed

Fed Chair Warsh Tells G20 Global Savings Glut Is Reversing Into Investment Surge, Rejecting Stagnation Thesis

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh told G20 that the prior global savings glut has reversed into a structural investment surge

Sep 1, 2026