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IMF cuts UK 2025 growth forecast to 0.8%, largest G7 downgrade

Mmarket.newsApr 29, 20260AI-Synthesized

The Quick Take

IMF now expects UK economy to grow just 0.8% in 2025, the steepest downgrade among G7 nations
Market reaction not detailed in source, but UK equities face headwinds from slashed growth outlook
IMF report described as 'damning', putting pressure on Chancellor Rachel Reeves and UK fiscal credibility
IMF warns global recession is a 'close call', signalling further forecast revisions likely ahead
A global recession warning from the IMF has broad implications for Asian export economies and EM risk appetite

Synthesized from 1 source — full coverage, sentiment breakdown, and forward signals below.

AI Indicators

Market Intelligence Panel

Sentiment

Bearish

🟢 0⚪ 0🔴 1

Coverage

live

source covering this story

T1: 0T2: 1T3: 0

Live Price

TVC:UKX

📊 Key Numbers

Guidance$0.8

🌍 India / Asia Angle

An IMF global recession warning dampens risk appetite across Asian markets, pressuring export-driven economies like India, South Korea, and Japan that rely on UK and broader European demand. Sterling weakness stemming from UK growth downgrades could also shift trade and capital flows within Asia.

🌊 Ripple Effects

▸GBP/USD — bearish pressure as UK's worst G7 growth downgrade undermines sterling confidence
▸FTSE 100 — downside risk, especially domestically exposed mid-caps sensitive to UK GDP slowdown
▸UK Gilts — potential safe-haven bid short-term, but fiscal credibility concerns could limit rally

🔭 What to Watch Next

PRO

▸Full IMF World Economic Outlook release (April 2025) — monitor revised G7 and global GDP forecasts for depth of cuts
▸UK Spring Statement or Treasury response from Chancellor Reeves — any fiscal policy pivot or spending adjustments
▸Bank of England May 2025 MPC meeting — assess whether IMF downgrade accelerates rate cut expectations

Market news synthesis. Not financial advice. Sources cited above.

Timeline

How the Story Spread

1 publishers · 1 time windows

Apr 14, 3:00 PMNow · 16d ago

+1 source · total: 1

This is Money

All Sources

1 publisher covering this story

● Tier 2: 1

AI synthesis of every source listed below. Tier 1 = wire services (AP, Reuters via wire, Bloomberg, official central banks). Tier 2 = major financial publishers. Tier 3 = niche / specialist outlets. Click any card to read the original article.

● Tier 2 — Major publishers

This is MoneyTIER 2thisismoney.co.uk16d ago

Humiliation for Reeves as IMF slashes UK growth forecasts with biggest downgrade in G7 - and warns global recession is a 'close call'

In a damning report, the global watchdog said it now expects the UK economy to grow by just 0.8 per cent this year.

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