Yield Curve News

German Bund Yields Forecast at 3.6% by Year-End as Public Bank Economists Revise Rate Outlook

German public sector bank economists forecast 10-year Bundesanleihen yields reaching 3.6% by year-end 2026

Oct 24, 2026

French Bond Risk Surpasses US Levels as Market Doubts About Debt Sustainability Mount

French bond yields and risk premiums have risen above US levels, signaling intensifying investor doubt about France's fiscal trajectory.

Oct 23, 2026

🇸🇬 Singapore

Bond Market's Big Short Bet Faces Wakeup Call as AI Trade Wobble Threatens Yield Thesis

Heavily short bond positions are at risk as the AI-trade-driven growth narrative wobbles, threatening the thesis for continued yield rises

Oct 19, 2026

India Bond Yields Hit 3-Year High of 7.41% as Markets Price More RBI Rate Hikes

India's 10-year bond yield hit 7.41%, a three-year high, as investors build bets for additional RBI rate hikes amid persistent inflation pressure.

Oct 15, 2026

Japanese Banks and Insurers Pivot to Domestic Bonds as JGB Yields Surge

Japanese banks and insurance companies are returning to domestic government bonds as local JGB yields surge sharply

Oct 14, 2026

US Two-Year Treasury Yields Stabilise as Williams Signals Measured Rate Hike Path Into 2026

US 2Y Treasury yields stabilised after Williams's measured rate path commentary reduced the tail risk of aggressive near-term hikes, with yield curve dynamics — particularly the 2Y-10Y spread uninversion — now the key signal to watch for soft-landing probability.

Oct 14, 2026

🇨🇳 China

Hong Kong Investors Warm to US Treasuries as 10-Year Yield Hits 20-Year High

US Treasury yields have surged to multi-decade highs, with the 10-year benchmark reaching levels not seen in 20 years.

Oct 13, 2026

US Treasury Futures Hold Steady as Long-End Outperforms Amid Oil Price Surge

US Treasury futures remained steady Tuesday with the long end of the curve outperforming as elevated oil prices drove flight-to-quality buying.

Oct 13, 2026

🇸🇬 Singapore

Global Bond Sell-Off Signals Fewer Rate Hikes as Yields Hit Multi-Year Highs

Global bond yields surge to multi-year highs after weeks of selling, paradoxically reducing the need for further central bank rate hikes as tighter financial conditions do the work independently.

Oct 11, 2026

Global Bond Selloff Tightens Financial Conditions, Potentially Reducing Need for Central Bank Rate Hikes

Global bond markets are selling off, driving yields higher and performing some of the monetary tightening work previously reserved for central banks

Oct 11, 2026

US Bull Market Hits Four-Year Anniversary as Rising Treasury Yields Threaten Tech-Led Rally

The current US bull market reaches its four-year milestone, driven primarily by technology sector outperformance

Oct 11, 2026

German Capital Markets Strategist Warns Rising Bond Yields Are the Real Crash Risk for Equities

Capital markets strategist Stefan Schrader identifies the bond market as the primary crash risk for equities

Oct 11, 2026

🇨🇳 China

Can China Exploit the USD-Yuan Yield Gap to Boost Domestic Bond Markets?

China faces a historically wide yield gap between US dollar bonds and yuan-denominated debt, creating capital flow pressure.

Oct 9, 2026

Japanese 30-Year Bond Yield Retreats from Record High as BOJ Tightening Path Assessed

Japan's 30-year government bond yield eased from a record high ahead of a closely watched debt auction

Oct 9, 2026

Rising Global Bond Yields Put the Brakes on Equity Markets After Record Highs

Global bond yields rose Wednesday, weighing on equity markets that had just hit new all-time highs

Oct 7, 2026

Shadow Bank Unwinds May Be Fueling European Sovereign Bond Crash, Experts Warn

Experts suggest unwinding hedge fund positions may be accelerating the recent selloff and yield spike in European sovereign bonds

Oct 6, 2026

🇸🇬 Singapore

Case for Bonds Strengthens as Rate-Cut Hopes Fade and Diversification Value Returns

The anticipated rate-cut cycle has been delayed, with bond advocates arguing diversification value returns as equities approach peak valuations

Oct 6, 2026

Nasdaq Hits Record Close on Tech Rally as Asian Stocks Rise, Bond Slide Continues

Global bond markets continued their slide as Treasury yields extended upward while Asian stocks edged higher tracking Wall Street records

Oct 6, 2026

Japan's 30-Year Bond Yield Hits Historic 4.235% as PM Address Looms

Japan's 30-year government bond yield surged to a historic high of 4.235%, signaling growing fiscal stress in sovereign debt markets

Oct 5, 2026

What'\''s Behind the Global Bond Selloff? Three Structural Drivers Explained

Synchronized global government bond selloffs across US, UK, Germany, and Japan reflect three structural drivers: sticky inflation, fiscal deficits, and BoJ's abandonment of yield curve control triggering Japanese institutional repatriation.

Oct 4, 2026

Indian Bond Yields May Peak in October Too — Market Experts Decode What Comes Next

Indian bond market experts see October as a potential yield peak as CPI moderates, oil eases, and government borrowing calendar completes — positioning for 12-14% total returns over the next 12-18 months.

Oct 4, 2026

🇰🇷 South Korea

South Korea Bonds Approach 5% Yield as Government Cuts Issuance by 5 Trillion Won; Safety Law Adds Corporate Risk

South Korean government bond yields approach the 5% threshold, prompting the Finance Ministry to cut October issuance by 5 trillion won.

Oct 3, 2026

India Market Rout: 8-Week Sell-Off Erases Rs 26 Lakh Crore as Bond Yields Eclipse Oil as Key Risk

Sensex and Nifty have fallen for eight straight weeks, wiping out more than Rs 26 lakh crore in market capitalisation.

Oct 2, 2026

Bond Market Turmoil Deepens as Short-Term Rates Surge on Global Energy Price Shock

US short-term interest rates surged as elevated global energy prices reinforced expectations for sustained Fed tightening

Oct 2, 2026

German Finance Chief Economist: US Government Has Lost Control of Its Bond Market

A leading German chief economist warned that the US government has lost control of the sovereign bond market amid surging yields

Oct 2, 2026

France 10-Year Bond Yield Heads for Biggest Quarterly Surge Since 1987 as Fiscal Risks Mount

France's 10-year bond yield is on track for its largest quarterly surge since 1987, with planned EUR 340 billion in issuance and rising energy-driven inflation keeping ECB rate cuts at bay.

Oct 1, 2026

Nomura Expert: US Treasury Market Depends on Japanese Capital as BOJ Normalization Threatens Bond Flows

Nomura expert warns US bond markets critically depend on Japanese capital flows, with BOJ monetary normalization threatening to reduce the yen carry trade incentive and reduce Japanese Treasury buying.

Sep 30, 2026

US 10-Year Treasury Yield Nears 6%, Threatening Global Real Estate and Equity Valuations

US 10-year Treasury yield approaching 6% — a multi-decade high that would stress-test global real estate refinancing, corporate debt rollover pipelines, and equity valuations worldwide.

Sep 30, 2026