Yield Curve News
Yield curve shape, inversion signals, and recession indicators.
HKEX Launches 5-Year China Government Bond Futures, Completing the Yield Curve Suite
HKEX launched its Five-Year China Government Bond Futures contract on August 3, 2026
Aug 3, 2026
๐ฏ๐ต JapanJapan's MMT Debt Debate Resurfaces as Yen, Inflation, and Sovereign Default Risks Converge in 2026 Stock Slump
Toyo Keizai's two-part MMT debate series warns that Japan's unlimited JGB issuance assumption risks Weimar-style inflation and sovereign default, with direct implications for BOJ policy and yen trajectory.
Aug 2, 2026
๐ GlobalStocks Fall as 30-Year Bond Yields Surge to Multi-Decade Highs After Fed Decision
US equities declined on July 29 as 30-year Treasury yields surged to multi-decade highs after the Fed held rates
Jul 30, 2026
๐ฌ๐ง United KingdomUK Short Gilts Post Biggest Rally in a Month as BOE Holds Rates and Signals Easing Inflation
UK short-dated gilts posted their biggest daily rally in over a month after BOE held rates and cited easing domestic inflation
Jul 30, 2026
๐ GlobalAzimut Fund Manager Bets Long on Japanese Government Bonds as Yields Surge to Multi-Year Highs
Azimut, the Italian asset manager, is positioning in Japanese government bonds (JGBs) as Japanese yields surge to multi-year highs
Jul 28, 2026
๐จ๐ฆ CanadaJapan 40-Year Bond Yield Surges as Traders Question BOJ Inflation-Fighting Credibility
Japan's 40-year government bond yield surged, leading gains across all maturities in a broad JGB sell-off.
Jul 24, 2026
๐จ๐ฆ CanadaGlobal Bond Rout Deepens as Oil Surge Renews Inflation Threat and Rate-Cut Bets Unwind
Global bonds sold off sharply as surging oil prices reignited inflation fears and prompted investors to unwind rate-cut bets.
Jul 24, 2026
๐ GlobalGlobal Bonds Reel as Oil Surge Reignites Inflation Threat and Tests Central Bank Credibility
Global bonds fell sharply as surging oil prices reignited inflation concerns and reversed the recent rates rally.
Jul 24, 2026
๐บ๐ธ United StatesUS 2-Year Treasury Yield at 4.235% as Markets Bet on Fed Rate Cuts Ahead
The US 2-year Treasury yield reached 4.235%, signaling bond market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts ahead, with the short-end yield level reflecting investor balance between inflation risk and anticipated policy easing.
Jul 14, 2026
๐บ๐ธ United StatesIMF Research Challenges 60/40 Portfolio: Bonds May Not Protect Against the Next Market Crash
New IMF research challenges the conventional 60/40 portfolio wisdom by suggesting bonds may not reliably protect against equity market crashes, particularly in high-rate environments like 2022.
Jun 29, 2026
๐ GlobalBond ETF Inflows Surge as Investors Dump Aggregate Benchmarks for Higher-Yield Strategies
Bond investors are abandoning aggregate benchmark strategies in favor of diversified fixed-income positions targeting higher yield
Jun 26, 2026
๐ GlobalTreasuries Rally as Stock Selloff and Falling Oil Trim Fed Rate Hike Bets
US Treasuries gained as equity selloffs and declining oil prices reduced Fed rate hike expectations, triggering a safe-haven rotation.
Jun 24, 2026
๐บ๐ธ United StatesIXG Global Financials ETF Faces Structural Headwinds as Yield Curve Flattening Compresses Bank Margins
The iShares Global Financials ETF (IXG) faces structural headwinds as yield curve flattening compresses net interest margins at banks dominating its portfolio.
Jun 21, 2026
๐จ๐ฆ CanadaFed's Kevin Warsh Rocks Bond Market in Debut, Sparking Surge in Rate-Hike Bets
New Federal Reserve official Kevin Warsh moved bond markets significantly in his debut, sparking a surge in rate-hike bets
Jun 18, 2026
๐บ๐ธ United StatesUS Treasuries Give Back Early Surge But Close Modestly Higher as Iran Deal Reassessed
US Treasury prices gave back their early surge but closed modestly higher Monday as competing interpretations of the US-Iran peace deal's bond market implications created intraday volatility.
Jun 16, 2026
๐บ๐ธ United StatesMizuho Financial Retains Buy Rating on Rate Hike Sensitivity and Capital Returns
Mizuho Financial Group (MFG) holds a Buy rating based on its rate sensitivity to Japan's normalization cycle and capital return outlook.
Jun 13, 2026
๐ GlobalBond Traders Pile Into Fed Rate Hike Bets With September Move in View
Bond traders are positioning for multiple Federal Reserve rate hikes in coming months, with some targeting a September move, according to Bloomberg Markets.
Jun 10, 2026
๐บ๐ธ United StatesTreasury Yields Surge as Jobs Data Locks In Rate-Hike Expectations, Pressuring All Risk Assets
US Treasury yields rose significantly as strong May job growth reinforced market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike later in 2026
Jun 6, 2026
๐จ๐ฆ CanadaSweden's Weaker May CPI Gives Riksbank Room to Pause Rate Hikes Amid Iran War Uncertainty
Sweden's core inflation rose at a slower pace than the Riksbank expected in May, giving the central bank room to hold off on further rate increases.
Jun 4, 2026
๐บ๐ธ United StatesECB Rate Hike Seen Likely as US-Iran Peace Talks Fail to Shift Monetary Trajectory
The European Central Bank is expected to raise interest rates despite improving US-Iran diplomatic relations easing geopolitical risk.
Jun 4, 2026
๐ฎ๐ณ IndiaAsian Markets June 1: Korea Kospi Hits Record High as Japan's 40-Year Yield High Signals Tightening Pressure
Kospi hits record June 1 as Samsung reaches all-time high on AI demand; Japan bond yields hit 40-year high.
Jun 1, 2026
๐จ๐ณ ChinaRising Asian Bond Yields Signal Fiscal Sustainability Warning as Governments Spend Beyond Means
Bond yields are rising rapidly across Asia and globally, with financial markets signalling that governments are spending beyond sustainable levels relative to tax revenues and borrowing capacity.
May 31, 2026
๐บ๐ธ United StatesUS Treasury Yield Curve Flattens as Markets Reprice Rate Hike Probability Through 2027
The US Treasury yield curve is flattening as markets increasingly price in the possibility of Federal Reserve rate hikes through 2027, reducing the spread between short and long-term yields
May 26, 2026
๐บ๐ธ United StatesBond Markets Price Federal Reserve Rate Hikes Through 2027 as Rate-Cut Hopes Evaporate
Financial markets are now pricing in potential Federal Reserve rate hikes through 2027, a dramatic reversal from earlier expectations for multiple rate cuts
May 26, 2026
๐จ๐ฆ CanadaBond Strategists Warn Long-Term Yields Will Stay Elevated Even If Iran War Ends
Bond strategists warn that long-term yields will remain elevated even if the Iran war ends, pointing to structural drivers beyond geopolitical conflict as the more persistent force on borrowing costs.
May 25, 2026
๐จ๐ฆ CanadaJapan Bond Yield Surge Splits Regional Bank Stocks as BOJ Policy Normalization Accelerates
Rising Japanese government bond yields are deepening a performance split among regional bank stocks, with lenders holding stronger investment portfolios outperforming as BOJ policy normalization continues.
May 24, 2026
๐ GlobalJapan Bond Yield Surge Splits Regional Banks: Strong Portfolios Gain as Weak Lenders Lag
Rising Japanese government bond yields are creating a stock performance divide among regional banks, with analysts flagging stronger investment portfolio holders as beneficiaries while weaker lenders face headwinds from BOJ policy normalization.
May 24, 2026
๐บ๐ธ United StatesBe Careful With Rising Rate Hike Calls โ ZAG:CA Bond ETF Duration Risk in Focus
Seeking Alpha analysis cautions investors to be careful with increasing rate hike calls, using ZAG:CA (BMO Aggregate Bond ETF) as a lens for assessing Canadian and global bond market risks
May 24, 2026
๐ GlobalBond Yield Surge Driven by Iran War Inflation Fears Raises Global Borrowing Costs
Long-term bond yields are rising globally as the Iran war ignites fresh inflation fears and investors demand higher compensation for holding government debt
May 22, 2026
๐ฎ๐ณ IndiaIndia Bond Yields Spike 10 bps to 7.12% as RBI Rate Hike Fears Outweigh Oil Drop Tailwind
India government bond yields spiked sharply as RBI rate hike speculation overwhelmed positive global cues, with the 6.48% 2035 benchmark yield reaching 7.1225% from a 7.0194% intraday low.
May 22, 2026