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Yield Curve

Yield Curve News

Yield curve shape, inversion signals, and recession indicators.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

Mizuho Financial Retains Buy Rating on Rate Hike Sensitivity and Capital Returns

Mizuho Financial Group (MFG) holds a Buy rating based on its rate sensitivity to Japan's normalization cycle and capital return outlook.

Jun 13, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Bond Traders Pile Into Fed Rate Hike Bets With September Move in View

Bond traders are positioning for multiple Federal Reserve rate hikes in coming months, with some targeting a September move, according to Bloomberg Markets.

Jun 10, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

Treasury Yields Surge as Jobs Data Locks In Rate-Hike Expectations, Pressuring All Risk Assets

US Treasury yields rose significantly as strong May job growth reinforced market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike later in 2026

Jun 6, 2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada

Sweden's Weaker May CPI Gives Riksbank Room to Pause Rate Hikes Amid Iran War Uncertainty

Sweden's core inflation rose at a slower pace than the Riksbank expected in May, giving the central bank room to hold off on further rate increases.

Jun 4, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

ECB Rate Hike Seen Likely as US-Iran Peace Talks Fail to Shift Monetary Trajectory

The European Central Bank is expected to raise interest rates despite improving US-Iran diplomatic relations easing geopolitical risk.

Jun 4, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

Asian Markets June 1: Korea Kospi Hits Record High as Japan's 40-Year Yield High Signals Tightening Pressure

Kospi hits record June 1 as Samsung reaches all-time high on AI demand; Japan bond yields hit 40-year high.

Jun 1, 2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China

Rising Asian Bond Yields Signal Fiscal Sustainability Warning as Governments Spend Beyond Means

Bond yields are rising rapidly across Asia and globally, with financial markets signalling that governments are spending beyond sustainable levels relative to tax revenues and borrowing capacity.

May 31, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

US Treasury Yield Curve Flattens as Markets Reprice Rate Hike Probability Through 2027

The US Treasury yield curve is flattening as markets increasingly price in the possibility of Federal Reserve rate hikes through 2027, reducing the spread between short and long-term yields

May 26, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

Bond Markets Price Federal Reserve Rate Hikes Through 2027 as Rate-Cut Hopes Evaporate

Financial markets are now pricing in potential Federal Reserve rate hikes through 2027, a dramatic reversal from earlier expectations for multiple rate cuts

May 26, 2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada

Bond Strategists Warn Long-Term Yields Will Stay Elevated Even If Iran War Ends

Bond strategists warn that long-term yields will remain elevated even if the Iran war ends, pointing to structural drivers beyond geopolitical conflict as the more persistent force on borrowing costs.

May 25, 2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada

Japan Bond Yield Surge Splits Regional Bank Stocks as BOJ Policy Normalization Accelerates

Rising Japanese government bond yields are deepening a performance split among regional bank stocks, with lenders holding stronger investment portfolios outperforming as BOJ policy normalization continues.

May 24, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Japan Bond Yield Surge Splits Regional Banks: Strong Portfolios Gain as Weak Lenders Lag

Rising Japanese government bond yields are creating a stock performance divide among regional banks, with analysts flagging stronger investment portfolio holders as beneficiaries while weaker lenders face headwinds from BOJ policy normalization.

May 24, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

Be Careful With Rising Rate Hike Calls โ€” ZAG:CA Bond ETF Duration Risk in Focus

Seeking Alpha analysis cautions investors to be careful with increasing rate hike calls, using ZAG:CA (BMO Aggregate Bond ETF) as a lens for assessing Canadian and global bond market risks

May 24, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Bond Yield Surge Driven by Iran War Inflation Fears Raises Global Borrowing Costs

Long-term bond yields are rising globally as the Iran war ignites fresh inflation fears and investors demand higher compensation for holding government debt

May 22, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India

India Bond Yields Spike 10 bps to 7.12% as RBI Rate Hike Fears Outweigh Oil Drop Tailwind

India government bond yields spiked sharply as RBI rate hike speculation overwhelmed positive global cues, with the 6.48% 2035 benchmark yield reaching 7.1225% from a 7.0194% intraday low.

May 22, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

US Treasuries Stage Strong Rebound as Crude Oil Prices Plunge

US Treasury bonds staged a substantial rebound after several sessions of sharp declines, with the move driven partly by plunging crude oil prices.

May 21, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Yardeni Calm on Treasury Yield Surge Amid Iran War Energy Spike

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May 21, 2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada

Yardeni Unfazed by Treasury Yield Surge Amid Iran War Energy Shock

May 21, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Global Equities Slide as Surging Bond Yields Trigger Broad Risk-Off

Danske Bank's research team reports global equities fell Friday and remain weak, with Asian markets and US and European futures trading softer.

May 18, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Global Bond Selloff Dominates G-7 Finance Summit as Oil-Driven Inflation Shadows World Growth

The global bond selloff took center stage at the G-7 finance summit, with oil-driven inflation identified as the primary risk threatening world economic growth prospects.

May 18, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Bitcoin Slips Below $77,000 as Oil Surge and Rising Yields Drain Risk Appetite

Bitcoin fell below $77,000 as a concurrent oil price surge and rising bond yields drove investors toward defensive positioning, pressuring risk assets.

May 18, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

China's April Data Disappoints Across the Board as Global Bond Yields Hit Multi-Year Peaks

China's April economic data missed estimates across multiple indicators, while global bond yields surged to multi-year highs, heightening risk-off sentiment.

May 18, 2026

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan

Japan Long-Term Bond Yields Hit Record Highs as Fiscal Concerns Mount

Japan's long-term government bond yields surged to record highs, driven by intensifying investor concern over the country's fiscal trajectory and rising debt load

May 18, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Record JGB Yields Trigger Bets on Massive Japanese Capital Repatriation from US Treasuries

JGB yields hit record highs, with fund managers forecasting Japanese capital repatriation from US Treasuries into domestic bonds.

May 17, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

US 30-Year Treasury Yield Breaks 5% as Stocks Slump on Fiscal Fears

The 30-year US Treasury yield surged above 5%, a key psychological level, triggering broad equity market declines.

May 17, 2026

๐ŸŒ Global

Record Japanese Yields Trigger Bets on Mass US Treasury Sell-Off by Japanese Investors

Japanese government bond yields hit record highs, triggering market speculation that Japanese investors will repatriate capital from US Treasury holdings.

May 17, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

US Stocks Slump as 30-Year Treasury Yield Surges Past 5% With No Ceiling in Sight

US stocks declined sharply as the 30-year Treasury yield surged past the 5% threshold, a level that historically pressures equity valuations.

May 17, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

S&P 500 Futures Tumble as Inflation Fears Drive Treasury Yields Higher

S&P 500 futures fell sharply as inflation fears resurfaced, pushing US Treasury bond yields higher and pressuring equity valuations.

May 17, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

S&P 500 Futures Plunge as Inflation Fears Drive Bond Yields Higher in Pre-Market

S&P 500 futures fell sharply in pre-market trading as renewed inflation fears sent bond yields climbing

May 17, 2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States

30-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.09% as Trump Taiwan Warning Rattles Global Markets

The 30-year US Treasury yield surged to 5.09% on Friday amid an accelerating government bond sell-off

May 16, 2026