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United States Daily Briefing

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

📉 Fed Hikes to 3.75–4.00%: First Increase Since 2023 Slams Financials and Energy

The Federal Reserve delivered a 25-basis-point rate hike Wednesday, lifting the target range to 3.75–4.00%—the first increase since 2023 and a hawkish pivot that caught markets off guard. The 10-year Treasury breached 5% intraday, triggering a broad selloff across rate-sensitive sectors. Financials shed 1.62% on NIM compression fears; Energy dropped 2.88%—XOM fell 3.54%, CVX gave back 2.86%. Tech remained marginally positive (+0.10%), with INTC up 4.03% and AMD gaining 1.65% as AI compute demand shows rate insensitivity. NVDA added 0.82%. ORCL rose 2.00% on cloud infrastructure momentum. The divergence between rate-sensitive and AI-adjacent names is the defining trade right now. Insider data is unambiguous: net selling ran $443.6M against $45.6M of buys—a 9.7× bear ratio. Largest sells concentrated in Financials and Energy. BAC fell 2.72% on deposit repricing fears. Robinhood’s former engineers face crypto front-running charges—regulatory headline risk for fintech. Amazon’s $20/hr minimum wage signals sticky wage inflation, giving the Fed cover for additional hikes. The dot plot median tomorrow is the key read: a projection of another 25bps before year-end reprices the front end hard.

3 things that moved markets

1.

US interest rates raised for first time in three years

The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate by 25bp to 3.75–4.00%, its first increase since 2023, citing persistent inflationary pressures and a resilient labor market.

2.

Former Robinhood Engineers Charged in Crypto Listing Front-Running Case

Federal prosecutors charged two former Robinhood engineers with front-running crypto token listings, trading ahead of announcements for personal profit in a scheme spanning multiple years.

3.

Amazon raises starting pay to $20 an hour and adds Whole Foods discount

Amazon announced a $20 minimum hourly wage for US workers alongside a 10% Whole Foods discount—a signal that wage inflation remains embedded in the labor market, giving the Fed cover for further hikes.

Top movers

Gainers (5)

INTCINTC+4.03%ORCLORCL+2.00%AMDAMD+1.65%TMOTMO+1.10%NVDANVDA+0.82%

Losers (5)

XOMXOM-3.54%CVXCVX-2.86%BACBAC-2.72%CSCOCSCO-2.12%CRMCRM-2.00%

Sector heatmap

Tech+0.10%Financials-1.62%Energy-2.88%Healthcare+0.07%Industrials-0.08%Cons. Staples-0.48%Cons. Discr.-0.63%Materials-0.73%Real Estate-0.60%Utilities+0.00%Comm. Svcs.-0.90%

Smart-money note

Insider selling $443.6M vs $45.6M buys — 9.7× bear ratio. Largest sells in Financials and Energy. No meaningful buys in rate-sensitive sectors. INTC and AMD are the only names seeing positive institutional flow.

What to watch tomorrow

Fed dot plot median

Does the committee project another 25bps hike before year-end? This sets the front-end rates regime.

30-year Treasury auction

Tail size and bid-to-cover ratio as signal for foreign buyer demand in U.S. duration.

BAC NIM guidance

Earnings guidance on net interest margin compression trajectory vs deposit repricing lag.

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