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United States Daily Briefing

Monday, 13 July 2026

📉 US semis collapse on dual shock — NVDA -3.5%, INTC -6.1%, AMD -4.2% as US-Iran strikes send oil +4% and rotate capital from tech into energy

US equities fractured along geopolitical fault lines Monday, with tech (-2.4%) suffering its worst session in months while energy (+3.0%) surged on Iran war premium. NVDA fell 3.5% to $203.53, AMD lost 4.2% to $534.39, and INTC collapsed 6.1% to $103.12 as investors rotated hard out of AI hardware — the dominant 2026 trade. Energy names filled the gap: XOM gained 4.1% to $144.51 and CVX added 3.3% to $182.20. Financials held (+0.65%) with Visa +2.5% and Mastercard +2.1%, a sign that recession fears haven't fully overtaken the tape yet, but the rotation from momentum to defensive-cyclical is unmistakable. No SPX/Nasdaq level data in today's feed — sector flows tell the story clearly enough.

3 things that moved markets

1.

TSX and US markets fall as Middle East fighting sends oil soaring

US-Iran strikes sent oil past a 4% gain and triggered a synchronized tech selloff in global markets. The dual shock — higher oil (inflation risk) and lower semis (AI multiple compression) — represents the most hostile macro setup for the Nasdaq in months. Chip stocks fell even as Wall Street stays broadly optimistic ahead of Q2 earnings season kicking off this week.

Read at investmentexecutive.com
2.

12 US states sue to block Paramount-Warner $110B mega-merger

A dozen US states filed suit to block the largest media consolidation in Hollywood history — Paramount's $110B acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery. The legal action, reported by both BBC Business and Sky News, creates immediate uncertainty for PSKY shareholders and signals that DOJ/state AG appetite for large media M&A is structurally hostile. Paramount stock faces prolonged overhang.

Read at Sky News Business
3.

Cameco: Wall Street paying too much for the nuclear dream

SeekingAlpha analysis argues Cameco (CCJ) trades at a premium P/E as Westinghouse integration and fuel services reshape the risk profile, with 2026 EBITDA potentially declining. Nuclear energy has been a consensus AI-power-demand trade, and if CCJ's fundamentals disappoint at this valuation, the theme faces a sentiment reset from a stock that has been a crowded buy.

Read at seekingalpha.com

Top movers

Gainers (5)

CRMCRM+4.84%XOMXOM+4.05%CVXCVX+3.29%VV+2.52%MAMA+2.08%

Losers (5)

ORCLORCL-6.47%INTCINTC-6.12%AMDAMD-4.21%NVDANVDA-3.52%TSLATSLA-3.19%

Sector heatmap

Tech-2.42%Financials+0.65%Energy+3.01%Healthcare+0.35%Industrials-0.85%Cons. Staples+0.56%Cons. Discr.-1.02%Materials-0.61%Real Estate+0.56%Utilities+0.68%Comm. Svcs.-0.04%

Smart-money note

Sector flows reveal the institutional playbook Monday: Energy (+3.0%, XOM +4.1%, CVX +3.3%) absorbed capital rotating out of Tech (-2.4%) and Consumer Discretionary (-1.0%). Payment networks V +2.5% and MA +2.1% outperformed within financials — institutions still comfortable with consumer spending velocity even as growth names sold off. The ORCL -6.5% drop to $131.54 was the day's most notable casualty with no obvious macro catalyst, suggesting either earnings-forecast trimming ahead of the next report or specific enterprise-software concerns. INTC's -6.1% puts it in a precarious technical position — watch whether value buyers step in below $100 or whether the AI rotation away from legacy semis continues. Tomorrow's risk: if Asia's semiconductor session continues the selloff (SK Hynix plunged 15% in Seoul today), NVDA and MU open lower, extending the Nasdaq drawdown before Q2 earnings season provides a fundamental anchor.

What to watch tomorrow

Asia semis overnight

SK Hynix -15% and Seoul circuit breaker today sets the template — if Asian semis extend losses, NVDA and MU pre-market will trade lower, widening the Nasdaq drawdown before US open.

June CPI (Thursday)

Oil-price spike from Iran strikes creates upside risk to CPI expectations — any headline surprise above 3.5% would force repricing of September Fed rate-cut odds and extend the growth-stock de-rating.

Q2 earnings season open

Banks report Thursday/Friday (JPM, WFC expected first). Earnings beats could provide a counternarrative to the macro risk-off if net interest margins remain resilient against the rate uncertainty.

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