Iran 'Largely Negotiated' Triggers SHEL, BP Commodity Compression
Financial Times reported Trump claiming the Strait of Hormuz reopening deal is 'largely negotiated' — language that immediately hit Shell (SHEL -1.40%) and the broader FTSE Energy sector (-1.27%) as markets priced the beginning of oil-price normalisation. For FTSE 100 investors, this is structurally significant: Shell and BP together represent ~12% of index weighting, meaning any sustained Brent decline mechanically drags FTSE total return even when domestic UK stocks hold. The Guardian Business injected realism: 'Even if the Iran war ended today, US fuel prices aren't likely to normalize this year' — a counter-read suggesting SHEL selling may have overshot, given US drilling expansion (FT earlier this week reported +40% output) takes time to rebuild supply.