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UAE / MENA Daily Briefing

Tuesday, 25 August 2026

⚖️ UAE -0.41% while KSA +0.26%, Qatar +0.32% — SRC sukuk 7x oversubscribed; UAE DCM hits $320B

MSCI UAE -0.41% Tuesday while GCC neighbours held firm: Saudi Arabia (KSA) +0.26%, Qatar +0.32%. Turkey -0.47% tracked UAE lower. The day's story was fixed income, not equities. Saudi Real Estate Refinance Company's $2.75B global sukuk attracted orders 7x oversubscribed — confirming GCC government-backed debt remains EM's most sought-after yield instrument. UAE's debt capital market reached $320 billion outstanding in H1 2026, +3% YoY, with 21% in sukuk and 70%+ USD-denominated. Brent crude holding above $95 keeps AED-peg fiscal stability intact — the AED's USD lock means UAE monetary policy is imported from the Fed. All eyes on Jackson Hole this week.

By the numbers

iShares MSCI UAEUAE
19.45
-0.97%(-0.19)
iShares MSCI Saudi ArabiaKSA
39.31
+0.72%(+0.28)
iShares MSCI QatarQAT
17.23
+0.50%(+0.09)
iShares MSCI TurkeyTUR
40.34
-0.32%(-0.13)

3 things that moved markets

1.

Saudi SRC sukuk 7x oversubscribed — $2.75B global issuance draws $19B+ in orders

Saudi Real Estate Refinance Company (a government-linked mortgage refinancer) attracted nearly 7x its sought amount — over $19B orders on a $2.75B sukuk. One of the largest oversubscription ratios for a GCC sovereign-adjacent issuance in 2026. Despite rising US rates, GCC government-backed paper commands a premium from EM fixed income allocators who need Shariah-compliant instruments. Nasdaq Dubai is one of the world's largest dollar sukuk listing venues by volume per Fitch Ratings — and this deal cements that positioning.

Read at AGBI
2.

UAE DCM $320B outstanding (+3% YoY) — sukuk 21%, USD-denominated 70%+

The UAE's debt capital market grew to $320 billion outstanding by H1 2026 end per Fitch Ratings. Sukuk at 21% of total and 70%+ USD-denominated means the market is highly sensitive to Fed rate decisions (AED is USD-pegged, CBUAE moves in lockstep). For fixed income investors, UAE DCM's growth signals maturing local capital markets, reduced bank financing reliance, and increasing access for international issuers tapping GCC liquidity pools. Nasdaq Dubai capturing growing share of global dollar sukuk listings.

Read at Economy Middle East
3.

LEAP 2026 in Riyadh draws $14.3T AUM — Vision 2030 tech narrative accelerating

LEAP returns to Riyadh August 31 – September 3 with over 1,000 investors from 900+ firms representing $14.3 trillion in combined AUM confirmed. PIF, ADIA, and Mubadala all use LEAP to announce major capital allocation commitments. Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 technology theme — Neom smart city, Red Sea project, LEAP AI cluster — continues attracting sovereign-to-sovereign investment. For equity investors, watch PIF-linked entities and Tadawul-listed tech names for any LEAP announcement uplift in coming days.

Read at Economy Middle East

Top movers

Gainers (5)

XMEXME+2.04%MFGMFG+1.56%VALEVALE+1.26%EISEIS+1.03%KSAKSA+0.72%

Losers (3)

UAEUAE-0.97%ZIMZIM-0.56%TURTUR-0.32%

Sector heatmap

Region (UAE)-0.97%Region (KSA)+0.72%Region (Qatar)+0.50%Region (Turkey)-0.32%

Smart-money note

Tadawul/KSA +0.26% while UAE -0.41% — Saudi outperforming UAE despite both being oil-price correlated. The SRC sukuk 7x oversubscription is pulling capital into Saudi fixed income over UAE equities. Typical when oil is stable: fixed income allocators lock in GCC yield premium while equity players wait for a clear Brent catalyst (next OPEC+ meeting). The AED peg means UAE rates move with the Fed — Jackson Hole this week is the next CBUAE-relevant macro event, and any hawkish surprise tightens UAE DCM spreads.

What to watch tomorrow

Brent crude basis

Oil above $95 is fiscal comfort zone for Vision 2030 capex; any drop toward $90 reprices Tadawul and ADX — US-Iran sanctions trajectory is the key variable.

Jackson Hole Fed signal

AED peg means UAE rates move with Fed — hawkish surprise tightens UAE DCM spreads and pressures ADX/DFM rate-sensitive names.

LEAP 2026 pre-conference

PIF/ADIA/Mubadala capital commitment previews typically leak in final week (Riyadh, Aug 31) — watch for Tadawul tech-sector uplift on announcement.

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