Skip to main content
market.news — Markets without borders

market.news daily briefing

Singapore Daily Briefing

Saturday, 26 September 2026

⚖️ Singapore Equities Edge Up 0.8% as STI Diverges From Asian Weakness — Trump-Xi Summit Gives S-E Asia 100 Days of Trade Calm

Singapore equities advanced modestly with the iShares MSCI Singapore ETF +0.78%, outperforming both Hong Kong (-0.93%) and China (-0.82%) on the same session — a clear STI decoupling story driven by Singapore's more resilient domestic and institutional mix. The session's two-speed Asia read was starkly visible: GRAB +0.64% while Sea Group (SE) -1.17%, JD.com -0.90%, and BABA -0.80% all dragged tech names lower, splitting Singapore's portfolio between the domestic Southeast Asia growth story (GRAB) and the Greater China exposure (Alibaba, JD). The week's most important geopolitical development for Singapore is the Trump-Xi Washington summit's conclusion: Business Times SG notes the meeting 'buys 100 days of calm that S-E Asia could use,' specifically because Singapore's export-dependent economy and its position as a global trading hub benefit directly from a period of reduced US-China trade tension. Oil's -2% decline on US-Iran diplomatic progress was net positive for Singapore, reducing imported energy costs for the city-state's power generation and petrochemical sectors. MAS's SGD NEER basket likely firmed modestly given Singapore's relative equity strength — a stronger SGD supports MAS's inflation management mandate and maintains the Singapore-US rate differential that attracts fixed income capital flows.

By the numbers

iShares MSCI SingaporeEWS
33.53
+0.78%(+0.26)

3 things that moved markets

1.

Trump-Xi Summit Buys 100 Days of Trade Calm That S-E Asia Needs

Business Times SG reported that the Trump-Xi Washington summit's conclusion without major policy escalation effectively gives South-East Asia a 100-day window of geopolitical calm that the region's export-driven economies can use to plan. For Singapore specifically, the absence of new tariffs on Chinese goods protects the entrepôt trade flow that remains central to Singapore's GDP — roughly 30% of Singapore's port volumes involve goods either from China or destined for Chinese supply chains. Anjali Mehta's SEA read: the 100-day calm is a green light for Singapore-listed companies with ASEAN supply chain and logistics exposure to add capacity — any DBS or OCBC announcement of trade finance volumes in the coming weeks will quantify the business confidence read-through from the summit.

Read at Business Times SG ↗
2.

SK Hynix's Solidigm Weighs $150bn IPO — Asia Semiconductor Story of the Year

Business Times SG reports that SK Hynix's Solidigm NAND storage unit is considering an IPO that could value it at up to US$150 billion, which would make it one of the largest semiconductor IPOs in history — acquired from Intel for approximately $9 billion in 2021. If Solidigm lists in Asia (Singapore Exchange has been mentioned as a potential alternative to the US for some technology IPOs), it would be transformative for SGX's technology listing pipeline. The deal also signals a broader Southeast Asian NAND storage narrative: Singapore's data center hub status makes it a natural consumer of high-density NAND storage at hyperscale, and a Solidigm listing would anchor the Asia semiconductor IPO story for 2026-2027.

Read at Business Times SG ↗
3.

Oil Prices Slide 2% as US and Iran Explore Diplomatic Path Away From War

Business Times SG reported that oil prices fell approximately 2% as the United States and Iran explored diplomatic channels to avoid further escalation following Middle East tensions, reducing the war premium in crude pricing. For Singapore, oil price moderation is directly positive: Singapore's Jurong Island petrochemical hub, its shipping bunker fuel business, and airline (Singapore Airlines) fuel cost structures all benefit from lower crude prices. Brent below $85 is the macro tailwind Singapore Inc needs heading into Q4 — at these levels, Singapore's inflation-targeting MAS stance can pivot toward a slightly looser SGD NEER slope without risking an imported inflation spike, which would be supportive for domestic consumption and REITs.

Read at Business Times SG ↗

Top movers

Gainers (1)

GRABGRAB+0.64%

Losers (3)

SESE-1.17%JDJD-0.90%BABABABA-0.80%

Sector heatmap

Tech/Internet-0.56%

Smart-money note

Singapore's DBS, OCBC, and UOB — the Big Three banks — dominate STI weighting and institutional flows; today's +0.78% STI advance without specific bank-positive news suggests broad institutional hold rather than fresh buying, which is consistent with the end-of-quarter portfolio rebalancing dynamic. GRAB's +0.64% move against Sea Group's -1.17% decline is the most important sector signal in today's session: it tells you that capital is moving from pure Greater China exposure (SE has significant China/Taiwan revenue links) to pure S-E Asia domestic demand (GRAB is now profitable on an adjusted EBITDA basis in its core delivery business). Temasek and GIC portfolio activity is not directly visible in daily prices, but the Trump-Xi summit outcome is structurally positive for both funds' China/Asia fixed income holdings — reduced geopolitical risk premium lowers required credit spreads on Southeast Asian sovereign bonds. The S-REIT sector is a quiet winner from the oil price decline: lower energy costs reduce operating expense ratios for logistics and industrial REITs, while a more stable SGD supports the distribution yield math for Singapore-listed REITs with USD-denominated assets. Key risk into next week: if the US-Iran diplomatic progress reverses (oil back above $90), Singapore Airlines fuel costs spike immediately, and the airline is a proxy for broader Singapore travel industry confidence — the most direct domestic earnings risk from Middle East volatility.

What to watch tomorrow

DBS, OCBC Q3 earnings preview

Singapore banks report in October; ahead of earnings, watch for management pre-announcements or analyst upgrades on NIM guidance — rising global yields are net positive for Singapore banks' USD-denominated asset yields, and DBS in particular has guided for above-market NIM performance.

SGD NEER policy band adjustment

MAS reviews SGD NEER at its October policy meeting; today's oil price decline reduces imported inflation pressure, which could give MAS more flexibility to maintain current slope without additional tightening — any hint of a slope reduction is positive for Singapore bond and REIT valuations.

Solidigm IPO mandate announcement

Any news on Solidigm's chosen exchange and IPO bookrunner selection will move SGX's own stock price and attract a wave of technology sector institutional attention to Singapore's capital markets — watch for a formal announcement within the next 30 days.

Browse all Singapore briefings →