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South Korea Daily Briefing

Tuesday, 25 August 2026

📈 MSCI Korea +3.31% — Industrials +3.98% surprise lead; SK Hynix $28.7B record buyback signals HBM confidence

MSCI Korea ETF surged 3.31% Tuesday — one of the strongest single-session moves in 2026. The surprise: Industrials +3.98% led, not semis. KEP (Korea Electric Power) +3.98% drove the industrials complex — an AI power demand play as datacenter energy consumption becomes the bottleneck narrative. Tech/Semi +2.13% performed well but was not the session leader. Banks +1.70% added to the broad-based nature of the rally. No notable losers. In capital markets news, SK Hynix's record $28.7B share buyback (announced Aug 19) continues underpinning the HBM cycle confidence story heading into NVIDIA earnings week.

By the numbers

iShares MSCI KoreaEWY
179.74
+3.51%(+6.10)

3 things that moved markets

1.

SK Hynix $28.7B record buyback — largest in Korean corporate history, HBM confidence signal

SK Hynix announced a ₩38tr ($28.7B) share repurchase — the largest in Korean corporate history — with shares surging on the August 19 announcement. The timing signals management confidence that HBM3E/HBM4 demand from NVIDIA's GB200/Blackwell platform will sustain revenue through at least FY2027. Samsung SDI and LG Energy Solution have noted AI datacenter battery backup demand as a secondary HBM-adjacent theme. The buyback also limits chaebol governance discount pressure — a structural improvement for KOSPI's multiple.

Read at FinanceAsia HK
2.

KEP (Korea Electric Power) +3.98% leads — AI datacenter power demand is Korea's new energy theme

KEP surging 3.98% — identical to the industrials sector composite — signals Korea's electricity infrastructure is being repriced as an AI infrastructure play. Hyperscaler datacenters in Korea consume increasing shares of KEP's grid capacity, and capacity expansion contracts are being locked at premium rates. If AI datacenter power demand sustains, grid storage (LG Energy, Samsung SDI) and transmission infrastructure both benefit as co-themes. Watch KEP for whether it holds: sustained outperformance signals a structural shift, not a one-day event.

Read at 조선일보 (경제)
3.

NVIDIA earnings + Fed speech — double catalyst for KOSPI direction tomorrow

Chosun Ilbo flagged NVIDIA results and a US Federal Reserve speech as twin catalysts that will 'determine KOSPI direction.' The framing is correct: NVIDIA's GB200 shipment guidance maps directly to SK Hynix and Samsung Semiconductor's HBM revenue visibility for H2 2026. Any Fed hawkish surprise would hit KRW and compress KOSPI's multiple. The market is running hot at +3.31% — a double miss (soft NVIDIA guidance + hawkish Fed) would be a sharp reversal. Position accordingly ahead of US close.

Read at 조선일보 (경제)

Top movers

Gainers (5)

KEPKEP+4.24%LPLLPL+2.43%SHGSHG+1.88%WFWF+1.73%KBKB+1.49%

No decliners today

Sector heatmap

Tech/Semi+2.43%Banks+1.70%Industrials+4.24%

Smart-money note

Industrials +3.98% outperforming Tech/Semi +2.13% on a strong up-day is unusual for Korea — market normally runs with semis in the lead on bull days. KEP driving industrials while semi complex follows suggests the AI power demand narrative is becoming a parallel trade to the HBM cycle. KEP +3.98% = WF (Woori Financial) +1.94%, SHG (Shinhan) +1.84%, KB +1.33% all strong. If this industrials-vs-semis rotation holds into next week, LS Electric, HD Korea Shipbuilding, and grid infrastructure plays may see fresh institutional allocation.

What to watch tomorrow

NVIDIA Q2 earnings

GB200 shipment volume and HBM4 design-win commentary is the direct read for Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix — most important single catalyst for KOSPI in H2 2026.

Fed speech / KRW watch

Any hawkish surprise pushing USD/KRW above 1,350 would trigger BoK intervention probability — watch KRW/USD alongside NVIDIA reaction.

Samsung Electronics Seoul trade

Large-cap KOSPI anchor — SK Hynix buyback momentum vs. Samsung's own HBM ramp timeline divergence is the key intra-semi relative trade.

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