RBI MPC minutes flag Q3 rate hike if inflation risks show up big
MPC minutes explicitly kept a Q3 FY2026-27 rate hike in play if food and fuel inflation risks materialise. RBI now sees CPI peaking at 5.9% in Q3, uncomfortably close to the 6% upper tolerance. The G-Sec market is pricing this — the benchmark 6.94% 2036 yield seen trading 6.80-6.85% tomorrow. Rate-sensitive banks and NBFCs face a re-rating window.
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