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China Daily Briefing

Tuesday, 13 October 2026

⚖️ China EV names lead with Li Auto +3.5% and NIO +2%, PBOC adds 23 tonnes of gold in biggest reserve build in 3 years — Tencent and iQIYI drag

China's US-listed proxies ended marginally lower (iShares China Large-Cap FXI -0.15%, KraneShares KWEB -0.16%), but the sector split was sharp: EV/Mobility names led at +2.29% with Li Auto +3.51%, NIO +2.02%, and PDD +2.08%, while Internet/Platform names slid -0.48% on Tencent (TCEHY) -0.99% and iQIYI (IQ) -3.81%. Fintech outperformed at +1.68%, with FUTU +1.75% and LU +1.62% leading. Property/Real Estate continued to weigh at -0.45%. The day's standout macro signal was the PBOC's September gold reserve data: Beijing added 740,000 troy ounces (23 tonnes) in a single month, the largest single addition in three years, bringing total holdings to 77.47 million ounces. The RMB/USD basis held steady; Stock Connect data was not yet available at publication time but Northbound flow direction into A-shares will be the key read for tomorrow's CSI 300 open.

By the numbers

iShares China Large-CapFXI
34.1
-0.12%(-0.04)
KraneShares China InternetKWEB
24.74
-0.04%(-0.01)

3 things that moved markets

1.

PBOC Adds 23 Tonnes of Gold — Biggest Build in 3 Years

China's central bank bought 740,000 troy ounces (23 tonnes) of gold in September alone, the largest monthly addition in three years, bringing reserves to 77.47 million ounces as Beijing continues to reduce USD asset exposure. This is a direct de-dollarisation signal with implications for RMB internationalisation — larger PBOC gold reserves historically precede moves to expand yuan-denominated trade settlement. For Stock Connect investors, the PBOC's balance-sheet pivot toward hard assets over US Treasuries is consistent with a longer-horizon view that does not require near-term USD/RMB stability.

Read at SCMP Business ↗
2.

Mainland Traders Buy Hong Kong Stocks for Fourth Straight Month

Southbound Stock Connect flows into Hong Kong equities were positive for the fourth consecutive month in September, with mainland Chinese investors accelerating purchases despite elevated US Treasury yields and geopolitical headwinds. The AI-theme concentration in Southbound flows — targeting Alibaba, Tencent, and Kuaishou — confirms that domestic investors see HK-listed tech as undervalued versus A-share tech equivalents on an A/H premium basis. This is the institutional Southbound bid that has been absorbing offshore selling; watch whether the flow sustains into October as the PBOC's Q4 MLF injection calendar approaches.

Read at SCMP Business ↗
3.

CSRC Tightens Leash on Futures Quant Trading

China's futures exchanges announced they will intensify the crackdown on program-trading malfeasance by defining specific violations, a move Beijing hopes will reduce cross-asset volatility risk in a period of fragile market sentiment. The regulatory action targets quant strategies that exploit momentum signals in futures, which have amplified both the rally and reversal in A-shares over the past 18 months. For STAR Market and CSI 300 investors, tighter quant curbs historically reduce short-term volatility but may also reduce liquidity in medium-term drawdowns — the net effect depends on whether retail-driven swings replace algorithmic ones.

Read at SCMP Business ↗

Top movers

Gainers (5)

LILI+3.07%NIONIO+2.31%PDDPDD+1.67%FUTUFUTU+1.55%LULU+1.25%

Losers (5)

IQIQ-2.34%BILIBILI-1.25%TCEHYTCEHY-0.99%HTHTHTHT-0.92%BIDUBIDU-0.79%

Sector heatmap

Internet/Platform-0.40%EV/Mobility+2.10%Education+0.49%Fintech+1.40%Consumer+0.08%Property/Real Est-0.40%Travel-0.03%

Smart-money note

The PBOC's gold accumulation pace — 23 tonnes in one month — is a policy-level signal that cannot be dismissed as reserve management. Beijing added more gold in September 2026 than in all of Q1 2025, a de-dollarisation move that runs parallel to the PBoC's OMO injections into domestic credit markets. Southbound Stock Connect flows positive for a fourth month simultaneously signals that domestic institutional money sees HK-listed China tech as a cheap call option on AI. The structural divergence in today's session — EV names up 2.29% while Internet/Platform down 0.48% — reflects the market's view that NDRC's NEV policy support is more visible than any Cyberspace Administration tech-regulation relief. IQ's -3.81% is a concern; iQIYI's cash burn and debt profile remain unresolved, and the stock is 70% off its all-time high. Risk for tomorrow: watch Northbound flows — if offshore funds reduce A-share positions again following a fourth consecutive day of net Southbound buying, the A/H premium relationship breaks down, signalling that mainland confidence in HK has outrun offshore conviction in A-shares.

What to watch tomorrow

Northbound vs Southbound Flows

Four months of Southbound buying versus intermittent Northbound; a divergence where Southbound remains positive but Northbound goes net negative signals domestic confidence in HK vs offshore caution about A-shares.

EV Sector Sustain

Li Auto +3.51% and NIO +2.02% — watch October delivery data from both companies due mid-month; any miss versus consensus 40,000-unit targets for Li Auto reverses today's gain.

PBOC MLF Rollover

Q4 MLF schedule — any net injection signal from the PBOC ahead of month-end would support CSI 300 credit-sensitive names (banks, insurance) which lagged today's EV-led move.

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