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China Daily Briefing

Thursday, 25 June 2026

📉 FXI -2.19% and KWEB -2.51% as BABA -4.42% and TCOM -13.07% antitrust shock drag China equities lower — property sector -3.11% adds to the pain

China equities sold off broadly on Thursday, with the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) dropping 2.19% to 31.65 and the KraneShares China Internet ETF (KWEB) falling 2.51% to 23.69. Trip.com's -13.07% single-day crash — its worst day in months — after warning of a 'significant fine' from an ongoing antitrust probe dominated the session narrative and raised fresh questions about whether Beijing's tech crackdown has truly run its course or just paused. BABA -4.42% and BIDU -3.34% followed the regulatory risk repricing. The property sector shed 3.11%, with BEKE (Beike/KE Holdings) -3.11% mirroring the broader developer sentiment. Tencent (TCEHY) +2.61% was the sole large-cap bright spot, benefiting from Hong Kong's Southbound inflows and its relatively clean regulatory standing. Big Fund's SMIC stake acquisition via the STAR Market's largest-ever M&A deal offers a policy-support counter-narrative, but one directional data point doesn't offset a session where six of seven sectors declined.

By the numbers

iShares China Large-CapFXI
31.66
-2.16%(-0.70)
KraneShares China InternetKWEB
23.69
-2.51%(-0.61)

3 things that moved markets

1.

Trip.com -13.07%: Antitrust Probe Escalates to 'Significant Fine' Warning

Trip.com Group (TCOM) fell 13.07% to $40.25 — its sharpest single-session loss in over a year — after the company disclosed that its ongoing antitrust investigation by China's State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) is expected to result in a 'significant fine,' without quantifying the amount. The company also guided for Q2 revenue growth to be the slowest in more than three years, a double negative that the market priced decisively. The broader read for the China tech complex: the SAMR investigation cycle for platform companies hasn't concluded cleanly — Trip.com's warning is a reminder that regulatory settlements can come with heavier-than-expected penalties years after the initial probe. Tencent and Alibaba investors should note that both companies have unresolved compliance matters; TCOM's experience suggests market-impact risk even for cases long considered priced-in.

Read at SCMP Business
2.

Big Fund Becomes SMIC's Third-Largest Shareholder in Record STAR Market Deal

China's state-backed National IC Fund (Big Fund) became SMIC's third-largest shareholder after the foundry completed the largest M&A transaction ever recorded on the STAR Market. The deal sees Big Fund absorbing SMIC's manufacturing subsidiary stake, concentrating state ownership in China's most critical domestic chip manufacturer — a clear signal that the government is doubling down on semiconductor self-sufficiency. For offshore investors, the move increases SMIC's policy-protection premium: government-controlled ownership discourages management from actions that deviate from strategic national objectives, which reduces some tail risks (restructuring, asset stripping) while adding others (non-commercial decision-making). The STAR Market record also confirms that Beijing is willing to deploy large capital through structured domestic-market transactions rather than solely through direct subsidies, a maturation of the industrial policy toolkit.

Read at SCMP Business
3.

Bank of China Evaded RMB 2.37B (US$348M) in Taxes via Disguised Mutual Funds

China's National Audit Office found that Bank of China misused pre-tax investment fund structures to avoid paying RMB 2.37 billion (US$348 million) in taxes — a finding that goes beyond a compliance fine and speaks to systemic issues in how SOE banks manage their investment book reporting. Beijing has intensified financial compliance audits across state-owned institutions this year; this Bank of China finding follows a pattern of auditors surfacing material discrepancies in SOE financial statements. For investors in Chinese bank ADRs and H-shares, the near-term risk is modest (BOC has the balance sheet to absorb a tax penalty of this size), but the audit process signals that governance-related earnings surprises from SOE banks are an underpriced risk. The broader macro read: Beijing needs fiscal revenue and is finding it in tax-compliance enforcement rather than new taxation — a recurring theme that will periodically surface as a negative catalyst.

Read at SCMP Business

Top movers

Gainers (3)

TCEHYTCEHY+2.61%TMETME+0.37%FUTUFUTU+0.35%

Losers (5)

TCOMTCOM-13.11%BABABABA-4.52%LILI-4.12%BIDUBIDU-3.76%BEKEBEKE-3.18%

Sector heatmap

Internet/Platform-1.68%EV/Mobility-2.92%Education-1.71%Fintech-0.61%Consumer-1.84%Property/Real Est-3.18%Travel-13.11%

Smart-money note

Tencent's +2.61% counter-trend move in a session where everything else sold off is the single most informative data point today. TCEHY gains on a red day typically indicate Southbound Stock Connect buying — mainland investors using the HK channel to accumulate at lower HKD-denominated prices. Tencent's current standing with regulators is relatively cleaner than BABA or BIDU (no active SAMR probe disclosed), and its gaming + fintech diversification has consistently attracted domestic institutional bids on selloff days. The bear case for the session, though, is the Trip.com shock: TCOM's 13.07% single-day drop on an antitrust escalation is a sharp reminder that regulatory risk is not uniformly priced across the China platform complex. SAMR investigations often proceed in parallel across multiple companies, and the market has a tendency to assume settlement once the initial headline cycle fades. The TCOM penalty disclosure shows that's wrong. Watch tomorrow: PBOC's morning fixing of RMB/USD and any OMO operations will signal whether authorities want to arrest the RMB selloff that typically accompanies a China equity down-day. Any offshore RMB (CNH) weakness below 7.30 would extend the selling into Friday.

What to watch tomorrow

PBOC RMB Morning Fix

China selloffs often correlate with RMB softness; watch PBOC's morning fixing level — if USD/CNY fix is set above market expectations, it signals authorities tolerating currency depreciation, which typically extends equity selling. A fix below 7.25 would be a stabilizing signal.

TCOM — Antitrust Fine Disclosure

Trip.com has warned of a 'significant fine' without quantifying it. Any SAMR announcement or company disclosure of the fine amount is the key catalyst — market is pricing a large number; if the disclosed amount is less severe, expect a sharp TCOM bounce that lifts KWEB broadly.

Property Sector (BEKE -3.11%)

Beike's third straight losing session puts the property sector back in focus. Watch for any PBOC or NDRC property-stabilization signals over the weekend — Chinese regulators tend to intervene verbally around multi-day sector breaks to arrest contagion sentiment.

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